Episode 206

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Published on:

6th Apr 2026

Dave and Jerremy Have Opposite Calls on the Market — Only One of Them Can Be Right

Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley break down how Middle East tensions are impacting markets. They review the S&P 500 futures, energy sector breakout then stall, and gold and silver forming double tops while now tracking stocks. Dave bets the bottom isn't in and calls for lower lows next week. They cover the week ahead including the Iran deadline, CPI, and share hedging strategies for volatility.

Timestamps:

  • (00:00) S&P 500 futures down 0.4% from war tensions – Jerremy calls bottom in but Dave bets silver dollar on lower lows next week
  • (06:12) Gas prices now nearly $5/gallon in Vegas and Miami – energy ETF broke out hard in January then stalled on Middle East moves
  • (08:54) Gold and silver formed clean double top – nation-state buying drove parabolic run but now tracks S&P 500 lower
  • (14:39) Trump Iran deadline Tuesday plus CPI Thursday – boots on ground already happening and escalation likely this week
  • (19:09) Markets volatile and everything expensive – hedge with bear calls, inverse ETFs or iron condors if you want to protect cash flow

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Transcript
Speaker:

Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Ladies and

gentlemen, boys and girls, friends and

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family from around the world, welcome to

the Solving America's Problems Edition of

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The Financial Markets, the Reviews, where

we are sending this out to the world.

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Hope you're doing awesome.

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joining me of course is my cohost

of solving America's problems.

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Dave DC Conley and we're gonna talk

and intersect both politics and the

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stock market and trading charts today

for everyone who was, who was extremely

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interested in how everything is being

impacted and how everything is moving.

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So I'm gonna do a screen share and we are

gonna dive into some of that right now.

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First and foremost, I'm gonna pull up

one of the things I like pulling up the

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the most, which is the broader markets.

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This right here that we're looking

at is the s and p 500 futures.

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So the EINs also is this known and right

now what we're experiencing in general,

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because of, again, a lot of the tension.

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All of this right here

is really war related.

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Now, as you always know, if I zoom out.

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Every big market pullback always

generally occurs with some type of

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news, but if we just come out here

February, had had an April of:

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all the way to February 40% increase.

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And Dave, you and I were saying

probably mostly the whole time, like I

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don't know why we're going up so much.

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Dave Conley: I think, I

think it was actually like,

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wow, everything is going up.

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That's crazy.

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And you know, like you and I behind

the scenes were like, okay, nothing

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is cheap, nothing is approachable.

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And like when everything's going

up, that's always a red, you

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know, like that's a, that's like

a red flag of red flags, you know?

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

Always a red flag.

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Yeah.

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I mean, we're talking.

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We're talking.

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Gold, real

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Dave Conley: estate.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

everything is the highest priced in

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: So

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

really confusing to me for sure.

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but anyway, looking at the s and p

500, what we're doing right now is we

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are trading down presently and we're

not down a whole bunch, which is.

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I don't know.

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Kind of interesting right now, 0.4%.

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So what that means is we're trading

down probably on the broader market,

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SPY, which is the ETF, for how people

actually invest into the s and p 500.

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Now this is gonna be a crazy statement,

but I do actually think the, the

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bottom is in presently, because at

this stage, really, really massive,

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big, big bull move came in, even

though we're still boots on the ground

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throwing telephone poles at each other.

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Any actual resolution to this

will cause the markets to, to go

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up, pretty strongly, I believe.

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And at this point I think we're, can kind

of pause around here and bounce worst case

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trade back down to the 6 32 level and kind

of bounce if we start going lower than.

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The move that we got on Thursday

and Tuesday and we get strong closes

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below those candles this week.

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That would be, in my opinion, a pretty

big nail in the coffin to expect the

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overall markets to continue to drop.

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however, it really just feels like there,

there is some se serious similarities

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to me, just from a momentum standpoint

on the, you know, from like, like,

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like a COVID perspective, but really.

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Kinda like a right here timeframe too.

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So we got the big market

turnaround, right?

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The, the absolute bottom,

bottom bottom was March 23rd.

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And then the huge, huge move

was April 6th on Monday up,

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which we're coming in April 6th.

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And are we actually gonna get

the bottom of the bottoms on

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April 6th, which is tomorrow?

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I don't believe so.

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obviously anything's possible, but

it doesn't look that to be the case.

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Here's the Q Qqs, which is the

Nasda, NASDAQ, ETF, and again.

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Really, really strong buying.

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In fact, Tuesday is technically

called a one white soldier.

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So this is a reversal

pattern for everyone.

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And I do know that everyone's

technical analysis is saying that

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we should do something like this.

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But the reality is we've already

had that selling event right there.

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That was the break of the 200, the

retest of the 200, and the cataclysmic

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failure, which produced really good,

you know, bearish returns for people.

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So we'll see.

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We'll see how big we do go down.

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Dave, do you feel like

there was any actual.

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Resolution of kind over the

weekend or am I reading it?

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You're reading it and it seems like

Donald Trump is still fighting with

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everyone and saying ridiculous.

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Dave Conley: Well, two things.

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One, one, you know, our listeners will

hear me repeating over and over again,

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and I would, I will, I will put out a

challenge to the bottom is in, I will,

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I will challenge you with one real

silver dollar that the bottom is not in.

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And this time next week,

we are at lower lows.

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This is, this is what

I saw over the weekend.

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Over the weekend.

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I am, I, I, I saw some good news.

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One of them is that, Iran, reached

a deal with Iraq, in order to,

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to do some transit of things.

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And that's actually really interesting.

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that's actually a bit of a thawing now.

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A number of countries

already have deals in place.

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Every time you hear somebody say, Hey.

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Let's open up the Straits of Horror moves.

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Like, oh, our president is

saying that, well, it is open.

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it's been open the entire time.

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I know it doesn't seem like it

because, but it's propaganda.

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The issue there is that,

insurance companies can't

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ensure things in a war zone.

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They can't write it.

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They, they can't, they can't underwrite

it because Israel and, and the United

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States keeps on bombing things.

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But a, a number of countries,

have deals already.

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It's Greece and Turkey and

South Korea and, and, and now

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Iraq, which, has a lot of oil.

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And, that's, that's, that's a

significant thawing of things.

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But look for what.

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Iran says not what the president

says, not what, Israel says, you

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know that that's gonna be noise.

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As soon as you start seeing or

hearing something positive out

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of, Iranian leadership, then

you can, you can bank on that.

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Everything else is noise.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Yeah, that

I, that I totally agree with, and I'll

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take that bet for the silver dollar.

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That'll just be fun.

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Dave Conley: Mm-hmm.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: because,

for no particular reason, I just love,

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I love trading and I love making bets.

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It's pretty, pretty simple.

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Dave Conley: One bet we will be

at lower lows next week this time.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Easy.

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I love that.

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So what we're gonna go look at,

since you mentioned it, let's go look

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at, the energy stocks, A-K-X-L-E.

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This is the energy ETF, where everything

is kind of blended into, right?

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Chevron, ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips.

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we're gonna zoom out to a monthly chart.

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So this is still that 2020, 2026

list that I've been just watching,

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keeping track of with a lot of

people and for a lot of people.

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But what you will notice is we did have a

really, really, really strong compression.

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And then just a massive,

massive breakout with volume.

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This happened back in January and,

not that it matters, but that was when

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I did the analysis and the January

video that many people received.

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when we broke above that bare hammer.

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That bare volume right there,

you can actually see huge,

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huge, huge amounts of selling.

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Massive, massive institutional, 94

million shares of selling, which could

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have been shorts or people set, you know,

selling to open or selling to close.

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And then when we broke above there,

middle of January, we just, we took off

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and it was a really, really big move.

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But starting to see, again, some

potential little drops here.

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the crazy thing with oil

that's taken over is.

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At least in Vegas.

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in January, oil was like 2 89, or

sorry, well, gas, right gas was 2

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89 a gallon, which is where everyone

kind of bases oil prices off of.

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: now

it's 4 97 a gallon in Vegas.

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What is it in Miami,

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Dave Conley: it is, I just saw it.

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today it's, it's almost $5, and

diesel is streaking towards seven,

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so it's like six and change that is.

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Wow.

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that's, those are wow numbers.

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Those are, you know, like, like

a few years ago, people were like

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putting stickers of like, I did this,

you know, Biden, you know, like on,

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on all of the, well, yeah, we, we,

we need new stickers on this one.

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Now I did read that, that OPEC is

said, Hey, we're gonna pump more.

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I don't know if they can get

it out of the Middle East.

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I, I don't know what that's gonna mean

for anything, but at least they're

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saying, Hey, we wanna pump more.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Yeah.

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Dave Conley: I don't think anything can

make up for this, other than, than Russia.

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but you know, like these, the, the

oil markets, the energy markets,

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all of it seems kind of disjointed

to me and manipulated and weird.

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And, the rest of it, you know.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

manipulate is spot on.

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That is spot on.

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I mean, we we're, at least, I feel like,

especially with the tweets, some of

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the back and forths and with the, the

updates and the adjustments that keep

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happening and then keep seeing orders

come in to certain energy stocks and

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energy sectors like crude oil or, or

you know, crude futures and it, it's a

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purchase, a large purchase right before

a big announcement or a tweet is made.

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It does seem very interesting.

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

so here's, go ahead.

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Sorry.

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I was gonna do gold real fast.

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Gold and

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Dave Conley: yeah, go ahead.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: go.

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Yeah.

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Gold and silver.

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We have a lower high that was formed,

which is also quite interesting.

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gold had its massive, massive spike, and

then gold and silver has, has largest

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down day in the end of January and.

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I believe it was in history, as far

as a percentage drop in just one day.

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I do like the fact that it's holding the

100 self moving average, so that's this

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blue line, and that was the pullback that

it needed to get back into that spot.

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However, the weekly chart, both gold.

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And silver, to me personally, just

looked like a very, very compelling

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double top, especially on silver.

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You can see it almost perfectly

closed below the neckline.

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You had three selling weeks in a row.

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Perfect close.

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We've had two retests weeks in a

row, and if I go in here on the

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daily chart right, we are kind

of failing the 100 a little bit.

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So if the spy drops a k,

the s and p market drops.

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I actually have seen right now a a com, a

comparative move with silver and gold, so

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the gold and silver markets, and this is

a surprise to a lot of people presently.

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Gold and silver is actually tracking with

the s and p 500, meaning if the s and

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p goes down gold and silver goes down,

which wasn't the case, you know, a couple

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weeks ago, a couple months ago when we

really, really had that strong rally.

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The equity markets were kind of

slowly curving down and being a

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little bit flat-ish for the most

part, and gold silver's kind of kept

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on going, and then they got too high.

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They had a hyperbolic

extension of price action.

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Dave Conley: Ooh.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: out, and

then some giant selling came in.

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Dave Conley: Hey, a question on this,

'cause I've listened to some gold,

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gold folks and some analysts and,

and some, I think bond guys too.

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and they were coming around to

saying that the, you know, that this

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record, run up on gold was really not

institutional work, but it was really

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nation state work, and that was nation

state saying, Hey, we're gonna use gold

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as a, as a, as an actual commodity.

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You know, like, we're gonna get out of.

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Using, dollars or other kind

of things, and we're gonna use,

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we're gonna go old school, cool.

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And use gold.

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And we're gonna, we're gonna make

sure that we have it and we're

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gonna, and we're gonna use it.

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and then the selloffs that

we've been seeing on gold lately

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have been things like Turkey.

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Turkey needed to like, dump a lot of gold

in order to like shore up their, their

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currency because of all the war stuff.

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And so, like the nation states are

actually, you know, going old school cool

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and being like, Hey, we're gonna use gold.

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That's.

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That's where a lot of, a lot

of the runup has, has happened.

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Is that, is that real?

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Is that something, or

is it something else?

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Yeah, no, it

feels, feels very real and very accurate.

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Accurate to me.

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and, you know, just looking at it from

a, which has no actual true, ridiculous

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bearing of like, all right, here's the,

here's the technical analysis charts.

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But the thing is, you know, technical

analysis always eventually gets

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followed by what has really happened.

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And if we just kind of look at this price,

what we did on gold is we traded sideways.

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Really from 2011 into

like five months ago.

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So we as bullish as everyone was on

gold, we really didn't do that much

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for a very, very long TI timeframe.

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Now, the cool part is if

you continue to zoom in.

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What happened until, again,

pretty much like late:

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So let's call it, let's call

it, two years ago, March,:

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Exactly.

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Two years ago, we had this really,

really beautiful, chart pattern

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called an ascending triangle.

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And we had this ascending triangle

and we just like pressure, pressure,

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pressure, pressure, pressure, pressure,

built, built, built, built for

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three or four years and then boom.

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And so as we broke out, we broke

out of the ascending triangle.

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We broke outta the prior all time highs.

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we were coming into a politically.

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Unstable environment.

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We were coming into kind like Bitcoin

being at its highest price and all

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kinds of things started happening,

so people did flood to gold and Yes,

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institutional people bought retail,

people bought, you're absolutely right.

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I think a lot of the, a lot

of it was the, the state play

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as well from other countries.

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So the drop that I see.

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Here is very healthy,

very normal, very needed.

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The, that would drop that essentially

from 5,000 an ounce, give or take,

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you know, down pretty strongly.

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So GLD, the ETF went from 500 to 400.

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So quite a large drop, just

in numerical terms, 20%.

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So at this point there's gonna

be a lot of people that says,

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Hey, we could do this, hang

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Dave Conley: Yeah,

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

actually go hire again.

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Dave Conley: sure.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

That seems very reasonable.

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but

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Dave Conley: I I think that is too.

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Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Yeah, but

if the overall markets break lower.

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to your point, right?

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Like we continue to make new lows.

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Then actually gold and silver I

think will continue to drop just a

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Dave Conley: Hmm.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: and then we'll

start to stabilize and, I think GLD could

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come down to 3 50, 3 55, which would be,

you know, again, just a good pullback.

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But people will actually start

freaking out a little bit.

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The, the people who bought it late

in late January during this runup.

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'cause there were people who

were standing in line, right?

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And like robbing pawn shops and

jewelry shops for, yeah, for

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Dave Conley: Wow.

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Yeah.

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Oof.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: So

that's gonna be interesting.

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I'm not, I'm not entirely sure

how closely it is to hide to,

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I'm not sure how closely it is tied

to oil slash tech stocks slash the

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gold and silver markets and all

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: that's

going on with Iran and Trump.

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But what is fun is if you are a

trader, which a lot of individuals

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are traders here, who might be

watching, from Quasar markets or

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anywhere else, real life trading.

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My, my squad back home, I think.

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There's gonna be some amazing

volatility both up and down over

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the next two weeks for sure.

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And let's go play with it and have fun.

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Right.

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Make some money going up,

make some money going down.

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But be quick and be nimble is kinda

like my feeling right now because

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Well, that's how much the headlines

are moving everything right now.

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Very, very, very quickly.

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Dave Conley: So speaking about the week

ahead, we have some big things happening.

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so.

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Gimme your read on this Tuesday.

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We have the, you know, the,

the Trump ous deadline.

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He, he sent out a rather

ominous, open the fucking, he, I

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think, did he say, Allah Akbar.

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He said, praise to Allah on Easter.

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And then he, he said,

open the fucking straight.

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So I'm, I'm sure some poly market paid

off, you know, like huge on that one.

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so Tuesday is saying, Hey.

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we're gonna completely annihilate you

and bomb bomb you back to the stone age.

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We're gonna commit every single

war crime in the book Yay.

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on Tuesday.

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Yeah.

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Thanks.

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Appreciate it.

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You know,

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: I'm kind

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Dave Conley: alright, that's Tuesday.

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You know, like he's delayed it like

10 times, he's gonna delay it again.

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I don't, I don't know

what's going on there.

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Tuesday we have, Delta Airlines earnings.

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I'm gonna expect that, that's gonna have

some interesting chitchat around it.

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you know, there jet fuel being $200 a

barrel, in, in Asia and at Heathrow right

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now, I don't think you can even get fuel.

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They're like, ah, nope, we're not,

we're not, we're not juicing you up.

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You gotta go.

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Thursday we have March CPI and Core

CPI, I think that that's going to,

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you know, that could be really super

curious, particularly with energy

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spikes, consumer sentiment on April 10.

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man, you know, like if there's any

indication that, that, you know,

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this unpopular war is going to

completely go into, be like, man,

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you're not paying attention to me.

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So consumer sentiment, I can't

imagine that that's gonna be like.

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The wind beneath our wings.

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Friday we have the oil sanctions expiring.

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so let's watch that.

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Frankly, we need the oil outta

Russia, but, you know, the Europeans

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are freaking out about that, but the

Europeans need it too, so they're

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gonna have their own schizophrenic,

sort of mentality around that.

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And then, Thursday also, the ninth

we have, Q4 GDP, and Fab, PCE.

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So

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Oh

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Dave Conley: that's our week ahead.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Yes.

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Well, I, I agree with you at least

on the Tuesday, four, eight hour

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Iran, you know, deal with Trump.

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Like he'll just push that back and that'll

keep circling the drain for a little bit.

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: but

again, that's, that's why I do

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feel like the, the, the, the two

chances for you winning or I winning

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whoever's getting the silver dollar.

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The only way I win is they actually

reach an, an arrangement or a deal

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: he flies

over and they, he shakes someone's

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hand and they're like pieces and they

see him playing golf at Mar-a-Lago.

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Dave Conley: that would

be the best if, if,

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: We soar bro

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Dave Conley: Trump, Trump and

the Ayatollah and Netanyahu are

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just like, shirtless and hugging.

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Oh man.

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That would be the,

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: Bull, bull

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Dave Conley: whew.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: We open back

up, everyone thinks, you know, everything

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

blah, blah, blah.

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Dave Conley: Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

chances that happening, I

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would put it at less than 10%.

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Dave Conley: That's generous, but

I'll, I'll, I'll, I'll, I will

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wish that for the universe we

will bring that into existence.

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I was like, yes.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: So, you know,

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Dave Conley: Hmm.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: you wouldn't

put a lot of big, a big wage on that.

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what has been happening for the

last two weeks probably keep

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happening for the next two weeks.

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That, that I would put it like a

55 to 70% you know, we just slowly

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keep grinding lower and kind of chop

around and, you know, kind of ping and

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pong back and forth ly like, and if

we drop any large, large weapon on.

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I guess Iran or anywhere

in that general area.

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'cause there have been some safe

nuclear tests that have been happening.

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if, if Trump actually bombs them

back into the stone age, I don't

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think that's gonna optic well.

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And we and the new win, you,

you act, you win that bet.

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'cause we do make brand new lows

of, of the markets by the end

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Dave Conley: I.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: If,

if we drop something heavy.

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Dave Conley: Well, realistically,

I, you know, I believe that the

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week ahead is certainly boots on

the ground in some form or fashion.

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We've already had boots on the ground

in the sense that, you know, an

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airman was, was rescued, Saturday.

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So we've had, we've had, you

know, boots on the ground.

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We certainly have special ops,

special forces, and special

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operators in, in country.

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:

That's certainly happening.

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so, you know, in, in a more significant,

sense, you know, having, you know, having.

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Having US troops on the ground

and, and them taking fire.

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I think that's gonna be the

big escalation for the week.

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And I think that that is, is real.

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You don't move in 50 to a hundred

thousand, American boys and,

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and, and girls into the, the,

the, the area and don't use them.

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It just doesn't happen.

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So, that's,

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: That's,

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Dave Conley: our escalation trap.

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Yeah.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

that's exactly right.

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That's exactly right.

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So, for those of you are trading the.

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Make sure that you do a lot

of hedges over the weekends.

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You protect yourself.

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You start getting relatively comfortable

getting into some bear positions.

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if you've never practiced

markets going down, ever that,

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:

especially in war times, right?

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Go and get some.

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Get some experience just knowing how

to hedge right with SPX bear call

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spreads or iron condors potentially,

or straight up just buying puts or

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shorting shares or buying inverse ETFs.

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Just know that there are ways for

you to protect yourself and generate

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cashflow for your family, right?

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Let's like whatever's happening, we need

to make a bunch more money right now.

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'cause I don't know if you're

looking, but everything's a lot more

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flippant, expensive, everywhere.

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:

Dave Conley: Oof.

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:

Jerremy Alexander Newsome:

So we need to, we

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:

Dave Conley: Mm-hmm.

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Jerremy Alexander Newsome: more and,

and, and creating more, and that's.

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extremely apparent, so for

everyone watching, thanks.

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:

Thanks for tuning in.

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we've been honored to be a part of

hanging out with Quasar Markets and the

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podcast that Dave and I produce every

single week is really, really remarkable.

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:

We've been doing it for

going on two years now.

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:

We have over 150 episodes.

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:

It's called Solving America's Problems.

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And our goal is to really do just that.

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:

We interview people.

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:

We have great conversations, and we're

collecting remarkable amounts of data

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:

so that we can actually solve problems.

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About the Podcast

Solving America's Problems
Solving America’s Problems isn’t just a podcast—it’s a journey. Co-host Jerremy Newsome, a successful entrepreneur and educator, is pursuing his lifelong dream of running for president. Along the way, he and co-host Dave Conley bring together experts, advocates, and everyday Americans to explore the real, actionable solutions our country needs.

With dynamic formats—one-on-one interviews, panel discussions, and more—we cut through the noise of divisive rhetoric to uncover practical ideas that unite instead of divide. If you’re ready to think differently, act boldly, and join a movement for meaningful change, subscribe now.