Your 401(k) Was Never Meant for Retirement
Eighty-one percent of workers fear losing their jobs in 2025 — and most of them can't afford to quit anyway. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley call the Great Stay what it is: a debt trap dressed as job stability. Then they crack open the retirement system. The 401(k) was never designed for you — it's section 401(k) of the tax code, a corporate cost-saving accident that got rebranded as a future. Only 15% of workers still have a real pension. Dave's late wife had one — it paid out pennies on the dollar. Average 401(k) balance: $97,369. Unfunded liabilities: $145 trillion. Nobody's asking how we pay for any of it.
Timestamps:
- (00:00) 78 million new AI jobs by 2030 — and neither host believes it – the lived reality is kiosks replacing waitstaff and tax prep going fully automated
- (00:00) 81% of workers fear losing their job but can't afford to leave – the Great Stay is a debt trap, not loyalty
- (05:44) The 401(k) is literally a tax code section, not a retirement plan – corporate America off-loaded the risk and called it empowerment
- (05:44) Dave's late wife had a real pension — it paid out $15,000 – that's what a "defined benefit" is actually worth when you collect
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Transcript
Seventy-eight million new AI jobs by 2030—that's the PROMISE.
2
:But Jerremy's already ordering
burgers from a screen that asks
3
:for a tip with no human behind it.
4
:The numbers say recovery...
5
:the lived reality says
replacement is ALREADY here.
6
:Jerremy: The gr the Great Resignation
or the Great Stay, the pandemic
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:permanently shifted workers, psychology
workers have leverage, expect
8
:flexibility, we'll leave for better
conditions held by popular media.
9
:Some HR professionals work
in strong labor markets.
10
:and then the Great resignation and
over quit rates have plummeted.
11
:Eight 81% of employees in 2025 report
anxiety about losing their jobs.
12
:this one's interesting man.
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:Essentially like, are people
going to stay in their positions
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:because they have so much debt?
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:That's really the question, right?
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:Really the question is like, I can't
lose my job 'cause I can't afford to,
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:Dave: Right.
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:Jerremy: like, that's it.
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:I can't quit my job
'cause I can't afford to.
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:I believe that this puts this podcast
and a lot of my material and everything
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:I want to create for this country
in the forefront, because ladies and
22
:gentlemen, that's going to happen.
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:You going to have to shift
your employment, your form of
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:employment in less than five years.
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:Dave: Mm-hmm.
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:Jerremy: If you're listening to
this podcast, your, your job will
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:probably shift, it'll probably
change, it'll probably alter.
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:Dave: Yep.
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:Jerremy: And if that happens, which
it, it will, or a very high degree of
30
:certainty, like 80% likelihood, you'll
need the ability to be flexible, to
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:shift, to learn, to create more value.
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:And you need the financial stability,
the financial acumen, and you need
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:to lock in as a 20-year-old, say
for a period of time to just make
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:sure that your financial house is
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:Dave: Mm-hmm.
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:Jerremy: you have liquidity, you have
access to that liquidity, you know how
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:to access that liquidity and why, and
how to move it and how to capitalize
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:on it, and how to shift it and how
to invest it and how to actually.
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:Be in a position where you can move
jobs, you can move cities, you can move
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:to potentially a different country.
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:You can go online or offline at a moment's
notice to create income for your family
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:because it is gonna shift and every single
person listening is going to need to be
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:very, very good at understanding money and
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:Dave: Yeah.
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:Yeah.
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:Jerremy: And I like how
you said that earlier.
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:Like if you're in a position in
your business where you're in,
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:you're in touch with the money.
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:Good.
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:Dave: Close to money.
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:Jerremy: Become
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:Dave: Yep.
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:Jerremy: it.
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:Dave: Yep.
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:Jerremy: better at it.
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:'cause there's gonna be more
money coming in and there's
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:gonna be more jobs going away.
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:Dave: Yeah.
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:I,
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:so I'm, I'm, I'm of a
couple of minds here.
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:One of them is, like companies
are gonna be able to do a lot more
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:with, so like, if, if they add more
people, they're gonna be doing a lot.
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:So, like, there's, companies are
gonna be able to grow the pie, not
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:necessarily shrink the workforce.
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:Companies that are shrinking their
workforce are either restructuring, right?
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:Like they're, they're, they're
saying, hey, or, they are,
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:shrinking for other reasons, right?
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:But if a company is doing what
a company does best, which is
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:like, okay, let's go kill it.
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:Let's go bigger, better, stronger, faster.
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:like they're gonna need all
the people they get and they're
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:gonna need AI on top of it.
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:So like there's a, I think you're
a hundred percent right that
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:everybody listening to this.
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:If you are working for a living,
your job is going to change.
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:And it is very unclear as
to what that's going to be.
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:And that's a certain amount of anxiety
is going to be, wrapped up around that.
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:And you do have to have
your, your house in order.
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:like it is not only just, making
sure that your financial life is in
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:order, but also that your health.
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:Is, is a set your, your
relationships are set.
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:You have the connections into
your community, into your family.
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:Like those are the things that successful
people have that unsuccessful people
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:don't have, which is a strong sense of
community, family love in their lives.
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:Like, those connections are the
things that get anybody through.
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:So, and making sure that you're,
not putting garbage in your
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:mouth that you're, staying fit.
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:Because as soon as something
goes wrong, like all of your
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:attention's gonna go to that.
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:So, just steal yourself is, is, and, and
be strong, and the plan B will develop.
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:That's what I got.
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:Jerremy: Yeah.
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:Yeah, totally.
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:And we're gonna, we're, there's some
of the big changes will need to be made
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:too, are gonna be tax code related,
pension related, investing related,
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:which I'm gonna be interested, I'm very
interested to see how it's gonna change.
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:Because again, think
about it this way, right?
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:If you're a company and
you have less employees,
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:Dave: Yep.
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:Jerremy: who are you
paying a pension to now?
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:a government, allowing all these
companies to make all this money, and
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:the middle class is getting murdered.
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:Dave: Right
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:Jerremy: So again, back to the
awareness of some version or some
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:form of getting everyone imaginable
to be invested and very intrigued
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:in the stock market's gonna be.
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:So in crucially, so crucial, man.
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:So crucial because companies
will make more money.
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:The profits will go up, the
revenues will go up, the margins
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:will increase, they'll become even
more profitable with less people.
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:Therefore, we, we need to go invest
in these companies because they're
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:gonna become bigger and better
and more and more profitable.
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:Dave: Well, here's the other side
of this is that these companies
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:also have to have somebody to sell
their goods and services to, right?
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:Jerremy: Mm-hmm.
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:Dave: if the people that they sell
their, their goods and services to
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:are being replaced, in the, in the
restructuring of the economy, then
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:your product market fit is broken.
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:So, it's
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:Jerremy: no money for your product.
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:Dave: I mean, people are gonna stop
buying it, like people still buy buy
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:records, but it's not gonna, you're not
gonna make a, make a, a killing on it,
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:Jerremy: Yeah.
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:Yeah.
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:It's gonna be so fun to
see how it changes, man.
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:It really will.
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:But I mean,
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:Dave: That's one word for it.
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:Jerremy: yeah.
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:But 4 0 1 Ks pensions, like those
are, those are going to need to shift.
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:I mean by, by 2023.
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:So not that, that long ago, 15%
of private industry workers had
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:access to a defined benefit plan.
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:The financial contract between
employer and employee had a big shift.
135
:retirement risk, if not all retirement
risk transferred to individuals.
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:So the company no longer has to have any
retirement safety for their employees.
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:Right.
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:the company, company stopped
guaranteeing the future.
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:Dave: Yep.
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:Jerremy: And that caused a big
decline in employee loyalty.
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:And again, I'm all for jobs, right?
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:Keep that in mind for people who are,
are working in jobs, I'm all for it.
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:I, I would love for our
companies to take care to take
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:better care of their employees.
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:But the commonly misattributed, the
401k is presented as like a deliberate
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:policy to help workers build wealth.
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:But it was originally a corporate
cost savings opportunity built
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:on an accidental tax provision.
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:Dave: Yeah.
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:Jerremy: And so it is the only
way now, that 85% of people
151
:are saving for their future.
152
:It's like, oh, I got a 401k, and
they don't contribute to it enough.
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:Right?
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:It's way undervalued.
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:And the average 401k right now in the
United States of America is $97,369.
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:Dave: Oof.
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:Jerremy: That is not good.
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:And that's the only real
retirement that the vast majority
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:of this country puts towards it.
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:And I, I think that it's again,
something not talked about,
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:it's not talked about in school.
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:It's not focused on enough.
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:It's not determined enough.
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:But there does need to
be other, other plans.
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:Like you have traditional IRA and
you have, which you have a max
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:that you can contribute to a year.
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:You have a Roth IRA, which you have a
max that you can contribute to a year.
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:Or if you make too much money,
you can't contribute to it at all.
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:Dave: Right.
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:Jerremy: And so there's, there's going
to need to be some other things that
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:are kind of forced because again,
ultimately if other, if the employee
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:workforce declines, you're gonna need
a large influx of individuals and
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:companies and people and, and teams that
help other people learn how to invest.
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:Know when to invest, know why, to invest,
no where to put it, how to put it, what
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:buttons suppress, what orders to use so
that it can grow because it needs to,
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:People are, are going to face extremely
strong financial challenges, in this,
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:in this little turbulent market shift.
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:It's, that's coming.
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:I mean, it's un unequivocally coming.
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:Dave: That was a big shift.
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:My, my, my late wife actually, when,
I was going through the estate, she
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:actually had a, defined, pension, which
I'd never seen because I, I started, she
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:just happened to be in a, in a field that
still had, pen a, a defined pension plan.
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:But what was really weird about it,
unlike, like me who had 4 0 1 ks, that's
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:all I had, that defined, benefits thing.
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:Paid out like pennies to the
dollar right when she passed.
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:So it wasn't real money, it was just
like whatever they decided it was.
188
:because at some point they did
transition the company into
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:like 4 0 1 Ks and got out of it.
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:And so she, whatever money that
she had, set aside for her that
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:was now part of the estate.
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:I, I mean, I think it was
like, 10 or $15,000 that,
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:that they sent me a check for.
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:But that's, like that wouldn't
have, it was not much.
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:It was like 10 or $15,000.
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:Jerremy: What?
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:Dave: Right.
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:Jerremy: I was like, is
that a typo in your voice?
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:I'm confused.
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:I'm confused.
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:dude.
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:So, yeah,
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:Dave: so.
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:Jerremy: had this big
number that was there.
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:They didn't have to do anything with it.
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:Dave: No.
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:Yeah, it is like, Hey, this is worth
hundreds of thousands of dollars,
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:but here's your $15,000 check.
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:I'm like, oh, okay, great.
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:And there's nothing you could do about it.
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:So I appreciated 4 0 1 Ks because
I didn't know anything better about
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:it, but I, what I didn't know until
actually looking at this, that it was
213
:never meant to be a retirement thing.
214
:like we pitch it as a 401k
is actually the tax code.
215
:That's what that means.
216
:I had no idea that 401k is, if you
looked up the, the, the 401k section of
217
:the tax code, it would say this, like,
no, it's not, it's not for retirement.
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:It's a tax thing.
219
:Jerremy: yeah, yeah,
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:Dave: And, it was meant for people
who had like options and, and,
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:it was for senior leadership.
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:It wasn't meant to be what
everything everybody does.
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:And then when I got my 401k, like
they, they did a pretty generous match.
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:And so I maxed it out every
year, but you could max it out.
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:But that was it.
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:there was no extra money.
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:And then I had to invest
into the companies that
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:they said I could invest in.
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:Like, there was like
six brokerages, right?
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:so I, I don't know what 4 0 1 Ks are
today, but I think if, if people are
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:counting it on them as retirement, I
think that that's, that's, who you know.
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:And what were you just saying?
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:Most people aren't even
contributing to 'em.
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:So if they're not even contributing
to 'em, then you got social
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:security, which is God only knows,
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:Jerremy: God knows dude.
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:That's exactly right.
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:With Social Security, I
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:Dave: And you can only work so
long, or, you, you can technically
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:work forever until, something
comes up and says, no, you can't.
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:Jerremy: yeah, if I'm being honest, I
don't even know if I'm gonna get, like,
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:I don't even know if I'm, I'm eligible
to get Social Security in 30 years.
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:I don't even know what it is.
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:I, I am so assuming that it's
not gonna happen for me, that
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:it's not even in my wheelhouse.
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:Dave: You might not have
worked long enough in a W2 job.
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:Jerremy: Promise, unemployable.
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:Dave: Well, no, you were
doing your own thing.
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:Like you had to be in a W2 job
for I think five or six years,
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:and then you get the minimum.
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:You, you should get a, benefits
if you go into Social Security.
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:Jerremy: I got five
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:Dave: Okay.
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:All right.
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:Jerremy: I
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:Dave: Go to social security.gov.
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:Jerremy: how 412 years old?
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:Dave: you can get your, you can get
your, whatever it is you're, you're
259
:eligible for, you just go onto the social
security website and, request your, your,
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:Jerremy: Pumped.
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:Dave: your, data.
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:And you can see it'll actually
say how much you made, and, the
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:year and how much social security.
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:Yeah.
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:Not that any of it's funded, but
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:Jerremy: right?
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:Yeah.
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:Don't, let's not mention that the US has
$145 trillion of unfunded liabilities.
269
:They've conley, I don't even
know what, 145 trillion, I don't
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:even know what a trillion is.
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:I'm
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:Dave: I,
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:Jerremy: my way, figuring
out what a billion is.
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:Dave: I'll tell you, you wanna
hear, you wanna hear It is,
275
:Jerremy: million millions.
276
:Dave: can do the math.
277
:I, I, let me,
278
:Jerremy: I get it.
279
:It's
280
:Dave: I'm a visually Okay.
281
:Jerremy: Unparallel large.
282
:Dave: You probably have a hundred
dollars bill in your pocket right now.
283
:Right?
284
:So you get a stack of those, right?
285
:And then you get enough stacks of
those to create an 11 story building.
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:11 stories up, 11 stories cube.
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:Jerremy: stories.
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:I think you're, you're an 11 story almost.
289
:'cause you're in a penthouse.
290
:'cause you're rich.
291
:Keep going.
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:Dave: I'm a am on, I am on the 12th floor.
293
:Yeah.
294
:Jerremy: There you
295
:All right, so we're, we're at
Dave, we're at Dave's house
296
:Dave: it's a.
297
:Jerremy: A hundred dollars bills.
298
:Dave: Block.
299
:so a billion dollars is about your living
room full of, of a hundred dollars bills.
300
:It's a, it's like a living room.
301
:It's like 40, like 24.
302
:That's a billion dollars.
303
:A trillion is an 11 story building
of a hundred dollars bills.
304
:That's one.
305
:Right now, the current
US debt is 40 of those.
306
:I mean, that's like the biggest
building that you could conceive of.
307
:That's one of those Abu Dhabi like, like
buildings, two of 'em stacked together.
308
:like the biggest things
that you can imagine.
309
:Imagine they're made outta a hundred
dollars bills and that's, 40 trillion.
310
:It's unimaginable.
311
:Jerremy: Crazy dude.
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:Dave: I am like, well, this, this
whole thing isn't about, national debt.
313
:We'll, we'll get back to that one.
314
:We did a, we did it for, for those
listening, we did a test broadcast
315
:on national debt, or I don't know if
we sent it out or not, but we had,
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:Jerremy: we
317
:Dave: we had the craziest, coolest cast
of characters, just like back and forth.
318
:And it's like crypto and like,
we talk about everything.
319
:It's like, oh God, I,
320
:Jerremy: people argue about their
plane, the size of their jets.
321
:It was a great convo.
322
:Great convo.
323
:So
324
:Dave: it's very relatable
how big my bb j is.
325
:it's like, well, what about helicopters?
326
:And I'm like, oh God, really?
327
:Jerremy: yeah.
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:Dave: guy.
329
:Alex: Companies off-loaded retirement
risk onto workers, then stopped
330
:guaranteeing the future—and the Great
Stay locked everyone in place with DEBT.
331
:The trap is set, the 401k is
an accident, and the average
332
:balance won't cover two years...
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:next, the hosts ask who in
Washington is actually fixing this.
