The Lazy Myth, Crime Data, and Why Social Security Is Fraud
Crime drops exponentially when money enters poverty — Jerremy Alexander Newsome calls the data nearly unarguable. Dave Conley and Jerremy work through the laziness question and land in the same place: most people aren't lazy, they're searching for purpose, and what looks like disengagement is distraction from a deeper problem. The conversation sharpens into a direct comparison between Alaska's oil profit-sharing model and AI companies — which pocket gains while socializing losses onto displaced workers, as hundreds of OpenAI employees averaged $11 million each in cash-outs while the people they displaced go on unemployment. Jerremy calls Social Security outright fraud: you pay in, politicians borrow it, and if that same money had gone into the broader market the returns would be astronomical. Both are on record: replace it with UBI for anyone under fifty-five and don't look back.
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Transcript
The question sounds designed to be unanswerable: are people lazy,
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:or waiting for permission to matter?
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:The data lands hard in one direction.
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:And what it implies for Social Security
is probably the MOST uncomfortable
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:takeaway in this entire series.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Are people inherently
lazy or motivated at their core nature?
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:You said,
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:Dave Conley: let's...
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:Jerremy Newsome: on vacation,"
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:Dave Conley: For a way, I also
said for two weeks, right?
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:Jerremy Newsome: I know, I,
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:Dave Conley: cause I haven't had a vac-
I g- I, I saw something that Elon said.
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:He, like he takes one va- one day vacation
every year, and I'm like, "Oh my God."
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:So in a sense, I, my life is geared...
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:I don't believe in
work-life balance, right?
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:Because I feel like they're always
competing with each other, and it
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:leaves s- a certain amount of misery.
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:So I just live my life, and
no matter where I am, I work.
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:I work every day.
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:Like there isn't a day that I
don't work in some capacity.
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:Some days I work a lot more on some
things, and some things I don't.
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:And that's how I like it, right?
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:I have liked that for years.
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:And, yeah I really am looking at it
like, wow, I, I really haven't taken
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:just a solid two weeks and just had
complete spaciousness or gone out
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:into the woods and just just had no
phone or no computer or no nothing.
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:And I'm like I think I...
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:there's a, it reminds me that I don't
need 15 grand a month to do that.
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:I should just
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
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:Dave Conley: And do what you did and just
lock myself in a dark cave for a week
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:and be like, "Okay, I need that reset."
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:But y- when I think about are people
fundamentally lazy or fundamentally
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:motivated, I believe that, people will
find their purpose and that people will
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:do work aligned with their purpose.
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:And if they don't have that purpose,
then they're hunting around it
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:and they might be stalled for it.
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:And so there's there is what appear--
what I perceive as a laziness for
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:people who are, If you motivate those,
that laziness, yeah, that's a problem.
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:And I think that most people will be
like, "Okay, if you have this freedom of
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:UBI, then of course they're gonna work.
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:They're gonna have the freedom to do
things, and they're going to be-- they're
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:gonna have the freedom to focus on things
that don't necessarily make wages," right?
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:Like it's getting out
of that wage economy.
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:Taking care of your parents or taking
care of your kid is valuable work.
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:Like we can focus that on valuable work.
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:It's not wage work but it's valuable.
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:I think people will naturally
gravitate to the areas where it's
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:being pulled at them the most and
where they feel the most magic.
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:Are there gonna be people who are
like, "Yeah, I'm gonna, I'm gonna
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:watch video games and figure out
how I can be at $1,500 a month"?
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:Yeah, but that's gonna be the exception.
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:People love being, working and doing
and contributing and thriving and,
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:Like I I don't know anybody really who
doesn't have that in them, and I do
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:know that there are people that, that
placate their inner sadness, their inner,
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:their inner child, their inner, their...
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:like the problems in their life
manifest by drugs and being
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:online and playing video games.
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:It's all distraction, and it's
distraction from a bigger problem, and
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:that shows up in, in in their paycheck.
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:So I don't necessarily...
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:Yeah, there's totally gonna
be lazy folks out there.
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:It's gonna be the exception
rather than the rule.
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:What about you?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah I agree.
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:it's kinda like most people
aren't inherently greedy.
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:That's one of my ethos,
it's one of my ethos, right?
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:Where to your point, if, again, we live
in a magical world, $1,500 just shows
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:up in your bank account every month
for no reason, or sorry, 15,000, right?
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:15,000 every single month.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Don't
worry about why or how.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Just let's just daydream
for a moment, everyone's there, and
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:that happens to everyone, and the cost
of everything stayed the exact same.
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:How do you live differently?
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:And I like playing in that world
because you said it perfectly, bro,
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:and this is also why we're brothers
from another mother, is you're
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:like, "I wanna give some away."
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:It's Yeah.
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:dude, when you start living in a
place of excess and abundance, you
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:do truly give to others, right?
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:Which is the antithesis of greed.
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:That's, I would say 99, 98% of people
are gonna kinda operate from that vein of
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:"Sure, I make a bunch, I give a bunch."
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:Sounds great to me.
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:And I also believe that
most people are motivated.
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:They want to do something.
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:Doesn't matter what it is, and
that's the good news is it...
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:they wanna do something.
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:Dave Conley: There's also gonna
be people who are gonna use that
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:and do terrible things with it.
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:So they'll be doing something,
but they'll be sociopaths.
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:Jerremy Newsome: That's...
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:I know that's
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:A funny f- funny not funny joke, but yeah.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: sociopaths out there.
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:There are actual mental
diseases in people that
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: And, rapists.
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:Yeah, dude.
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:That's gonna happen.
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:There are
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:Dave Conley: D-
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:Jerremy Newsome: people out there, for
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:sure.
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:Dave Conley: and to
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:Jerremy Newsome: would decrease.
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:Dude,
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:Dave Conley: for sure.
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:Jerremy Newsome: That's my biggest,
that's my biggest win over this is
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:the data is almost not even arguable,
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: if you inject money
into poverty does tend to go away.
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:Sorry, not poverty.
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:Obviously, poverty would go away.
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:Crime
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:Crime decreases exponentially.
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:Dave Conley: Totally.
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:Jerremy Newsome: as that, right?
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:You give people more access to resources,
and then their crime goes away.
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:Doesn't mean that they're gonna
make good financial choices.
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:That's not what I'm saying.
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:I'm not saying that they're...
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:I'm saying that regardless of skin
color, regardless of background,
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:regardless of religion, and regardless
of geographically where you're located,
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:That geographical region has
more income, crime Other things
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:may increase, but strictly crime
is directly tied to poverty.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah and, I know
education is so key to your heart
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:on so many things, and that freedom
of time is a real thing, right?
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:Like you can learn
anything online now, right?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
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:Dave Conley: the freedom of time in
order to do that, there are gonna be a
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:lot of people who'll be like, "Man, I
have always wanted to learn and do this,
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:and like I don't know anything about it.
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:I'm gonna go do it," right?
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:I have, the blessings of freedom
of some time, and I spend a
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:lot of going to the gym of AI.
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:This is something I do every single day.
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:And like that's, that's my obsession and
how that's force multiplying the work that
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:we do and the difference that we can make.
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:And plenty of people are gonna
be like, "Man, like I've always
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:wanted to learn to do this, and
now I have the ability to do that."
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:It's not gonna necessarily
happen in a in a state school.
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:I think the biggest thing that it gives
I believe to people is some dignity.
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:I think that there's a lot of paternalism
that comes with all of these government
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:programs of "Okay, you can only
spend this money on these things."
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:And like I, I get it.
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:If you don't want, government
money going to buying garbage
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:food, it makes some sense.
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:But also if the government was telling
me what I can and can't do, I think
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:everybody naturally like bristles at that.
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:I'm like, "Ah," like I'm gonna decide,
what's best for me and the freedom I have.
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:It shouldn't-- Freedom
shouldn't be a luxury.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Shoot.
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:I like that, dude.
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:I like that.
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:Great example.
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:About it briefly, but Alaska pays every
resident a check from oil revenues,
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:Dave Conley: Bang.
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:Jerremy Newsome: natural resources.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: AI is now generating
productivity that no individual ever
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:created specifically on the speed, right?
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:Is there a meaningful difference
between those two things?
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:The question of that is essentially
if you live in a state a geographical
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:region that is rich in XYZ, doesn't
matter, and also granted that resource
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:is being used or materialized ethically,
f- for the most part, and you're there
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:and you're just getting money, right?
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:Because, again, use Alaska.
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:I live there.
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:It's rich with oil.
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:We're taking the oil.
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:We're sending it to other countries,
other places, other cities, other states,
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:and we're receiving money from that.
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:And since we live here,
we're getting a stipend.
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:We're getting some type of cash.
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:The question is, how is that different
than if you create a YouTube channel
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:And this YouTube channel is entirely
made of AI agents and robots and
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:avatars that are making you content.
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:And that content is compelling
enough that people watch it.
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:they watch it, Google, which we just
talked about earlier, at some stage has
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:revenue increasing, profits increasing
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: more people are
using the traffic and they're paying
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:the ads to be on your YouTube channel
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: an ad revenue of $3,000
a month essentially doing nothing.
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:Is there any real distinctive difference
between live in a place and I'm getting
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:money for free versus I have computers
and software is making me money for free?
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: there's
not really a difference.
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:Because the difference is okay,
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: a
physical, tangible thing
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:And the other one is still created,
but just because it's not tangible
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:doesn't mean it's not real.
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:And that's a very, gravity, right?
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:There's so many applications to that.
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:It's almost unbelievable.
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:Dave Conley: Here's how I'm hearing
this and tell me if you agree or
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:not, is that Al- Alaska has this
bounty of natural resources that
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:are, is under the ground, right?
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:And it leases that bounty-
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:Jerremy Newsome: Under the sea.
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:Dave Conley: It lease, it
leases that out, right?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yep.
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:Dave Conley: and the oil companies come in
they s- you know, they suck the dyna-jor-
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:dinosaur juice out of the ground, and they
sell it And that leasing money that they
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:get, the state of Alaska says, "Great, you
know, like, not only are we gonna be able
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:to pay for, you know, like what we do in
the state, we're also gonna cut everybody
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:a check from it because it's A-Alaska's
resources, and you are an Alaskan."
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:And so, like, the, it's profit
sharing on the bounty of the state.
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:And what I'm-- I get from AI is that
they're coming through with, like, the
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:largest social disruption in probably
human history and that they are taking
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:all of the money that they're making
and all of the money that, that is
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:being invested in them, and they are
pouring it into making more money.
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:It's this...
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:and buying each other and causing
a, you know, a bicycling of, of
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:cash and using stock to buy company.
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:Like, the value that they're creating
is this immense destruction that's,
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:that's coming everybody's way.
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:It's already happening.
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:And they are happy to socialize their
losses because the people who are
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:losing their jobs are the ones that
you and I are actually paying for.
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:They're the ones that are going and,
uh, having to sell their homes, have
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:disruptions in their lives, having,
uh, you know, issues in their lives,
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:maybe going on, on, um, on temporary
you know, like, uh, uh, government, uh,
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:programs for unemployment insurance.
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:And that isn't coming out of any of
these companies that are, are doing
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:and generating, a, a trillion dollars.
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:You know, like, they've
taken so much money.
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:And in the meantime, if you are an
employee of OpenAI, you know, even
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:though they're, they're not publicly
traded, they do have an internal
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:stock, and you are able to sell those.
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:And they, over the course of the
last year, the number I just saw was
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:hundreds of employees have cashed
out their OpenAI stock, and on
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:average, on average, each one of them
walked away with about $11 million.
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:So there's nothing in there that says,
"Hey, by the way, of that $11 million
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:going to, like, your developer," you
know, like maybe there needs to be
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:some money in there that is actually
going to the greater good, the
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:resources of the United States, the
resources of the people who are...
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:You know, like, that's the
money that could be going there.
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:Instead, it's this intense this, "The
money is mine, but the costs are yours."
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:And that is a, a failure in,
in, in social capitalism for me.
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:I, I don't, I don't get it.
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:I don't wanna pay for the, uh, the
problems that OpenAI or Anthropic or, or
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:xAI creates just because they want all
of the money in order to build the gr-
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:next great economy when they are causing
issues today That look, we could, we can
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:just like have a fund that they pay into.
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:It doesn't have to be,
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:you know, like onerous or anything
and be like, "Okay, you know, like
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:you guys keep doing you, but it's
not costless for you and me, so it
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:should be costless for you and me."
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:You know?
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:Like it, like they should thrive
on their own in this capitalism
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:market, and they're not.
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:We are subsidizing OpenAI right now.
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:Jerremy Newsome: And that's a new tangent.
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:but yes.
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:Y- yeah, I agree.
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:speaking of subsidita- subsist- would
you support replacing Social Security
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:with the US, with universal basic
income for everyone under fifty-five,
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:eliminating the unfunded liability?
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:Is something that you would stand behind?
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:Check mark of approval
from Dave DC Conley.
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:Dave Conley: I think that's it's almost
a loaded question because it's only an
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:unfunded liability because of the, there's
an artificial cap on top of it for wages.
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:and, so and then the government
has decided to borrow against it.
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:So it's un- it's supposed to be fully
funded, much like a lot of things that are
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:on the books of states and get the, and
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:Jerremy Newsome: guy over here
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:Dave Conley: The politician said,
"Hey, look at all that money.
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:We should grab it, and
we should use it for...
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:Jerremy Newsome: there.
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:Dave Conley: that's so much money.
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:We should use it over here."
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:Like it should be a it should
be funded and it's not.
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:And so I think that, like it
could be easily funded if we
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:just, take the wage cap off of it.
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:Now, saying that, I'd be totally down
with eliminating the Social Security
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:tax that is out of everybody's wages
and then transitioning over to this.
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:I think that's fine.
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:And like another thing is that,
very th- there is a certain they
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:call it a good that, like everybody
receives Social Security no matter,
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:if you fully paid into it like I did.
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:I've, I maxed it out for, the number of
years because of I was making, good money.
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:And so everybody gets their
quote-unquote Social Security check.
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:I'd i- and it doesn't matter if, if
you're a multimillionaire and you
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:have all of this, that you still
get a Social Security check, right?
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:You get your UBI, and if you
are struggling as somebody who's
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:over 65, like you're gonna get
that same, that same check.
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:Like in a sense, like it's a screwy
system, and I'm okay with getting
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:rid of a screwy system and being
like, "Yeah, instead of a screwy
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:system, here's your UBI," and and
call it a day on Social Security if
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:you eliminate the tax on the wages.
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:I don't know.
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:Would you keep Social Security?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Oh, hell no.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: No, it's toast.
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:It's totally...
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:Yeah, it's actually a fraud,
fraudulent system, in my opinion.
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:Dave Conley: No, s-say more.
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:I don't disagree but ma- what,
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:Jerremy Newsome: yeah
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: fully, dude.
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:Yeah.
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:almost fully.
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:So it's okay, you work and
you put money into this
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:Dave Conley: Pile.
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:Pile of
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:Jerremy Newsome: that the government
borrows from, that they use perpetually,
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: then they're gonna
pay you, as long as you're And
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:The money that if you as a citizen took
that and invested into, oh, I don't know,
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:Dave Conley: Anything.
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:Jerremy Newsome: p- pick something.
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:Dave Conley: Any, anything.
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:Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: baseball cards.
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:But prefep- you know, preferably
the S&P 500, the Dow Jones,
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: the
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Any broader
market stock, like the return of
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:your money is astronomically more.
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:And so even if the government
was like, "Hey, guys, you suck at
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:investing," cool, not a big deal.
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:Money.
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:We're going to invest it for You and
then you get that as a fund Now that I,
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:can start getting behind.
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:the semicolon after that's gonna be
like, okay, but you can't politicians
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:borrow against it or use it for your
own endeavors can't trade individual
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:companies because you guys are liars and
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:you're insider traders, and all you
do is make all the money for your
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:own family based on the policies that
you create for the companies that you
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:inter- interact with on a daily basis.
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:So other than that Yeah we
need an investing policy
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:Dave Conley: I would be way more
supportive of that if it wasn't just
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:publicly traded companies, right?
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:Like that you could invest in anything
that would have a potentially a return
347
:or a return on your capital, right?
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:At a percentage.
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:Be like, "Okay, I want to invest
in my local bo- bodega," right?
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:It's like I, I wanna, cut, a portion
of my, my, my monthly salary,
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:before taxes to a local investment
or, like some other, y- investment
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:that, that has an potential, right?
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:Like maybe it's it has to
have these sort of things.
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:Like even if it's a private, private
investment I'd be down with that.
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:There is a risk that goes
into all of that, right?
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:So I...
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:in some sense, if we have that Social
Security and that Social Security
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:investment aspect, like it, it does need
to be de-risked a little bit and, like
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:now it's de-risked in the wrong way.
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:So but eliminating it,
yeah, I'm down with that.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
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:Dave Conley: forget it.
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:Don't need it if we have a UBI.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yep exactly, precisely.
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:And I think there's just a, once
we dial that system in and we get
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:really more crystal clear on the
funding and the investing and the
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:saving and the protecting of it,
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: you can't get the
grimy hands of the politicians inside
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:of this thing, 'cause remember,
Congressman Newman, she, that she was
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:like, "Listen, bro, if it ain't working,
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: moving, it's
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:Dave Conley: Yeah,
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:Jerremy Newsome: It's a
m- it's a money thing.
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:It is-- We need to create as much
separation of that as we can.
377
:It's an entirely different product,
entirely different series, but
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:ultimately it's listen, if you
go into the the office, you're
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:doing that as a role of service.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: And you can make
a certain amount of money, and you
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:can invest that certain amount of
money into a broader market, S&P 500,
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:whatever, but there is no way you are
investing into individual companies,
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:especially since you're meeting
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:Alex: Jerremy calls it what it
is: Social Security is fraud on
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:paper, and the math backs him up.
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:But every fix they sketch runs into
the SAME wall—if you build a system,
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:someone powerful will try to own it.
