Current Events: Why Does Tokyo Have Zero Homeless People While Iran Wages $100 Oil Economic War?
Japan shows a different standard. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley discuss his trip to Tokyo where he saw zero homeless people, fewer than five overweight individuals, spotless streets, and cheap food. They link it to cultural pride – Japanese people are “too proud to be homeless” – and contrast with Las Vegas. Then they turn to Iran: the U.S. and Israel aren't controlling escalation as Iran runs an economic war markets may be underpricing. With oil near $100 feeding inflation via gas and diesel, they review the S&P 500 peak at 7002 and 7% drop, Dave's call for more downside then a bottom, and a best-case peace scenario sparking asset-bubble growth.
Timestamps:
- (05:02) Jerremy saw zero homeless in Tokyo's 40 million – clean streets, unusually cheap food, and fewer than five overweight people observed
- (06:58) Japanese are too proud to be homeless – top-down integrity creates pristine cities unlike littered Las Vegas
- (17:41) Iran wages economic war through oil – U.S. and Israel lack escalation control as markets underprice the threat
- (22:57) S&P 500 peaked near 7002 then dropped 7% – Dave predicts further downside before sidelined money returns for a bottom
- (26:18) Oil near $100 drives gas and diesel inflation – real economic pain from Iran's strategy
- (28:40) Best-case peace unlocks more supply – possibly Russia creating asset-bubble surge despite sticky inflation
- (31:21) Trump posts swing markets wildly – political risks and escalation forecast remain high
Transcript
Here we go.
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:Hello, ladies and gentlemen,
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:Jerremy Newsome: Try number seven.
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:712
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:Dave Conley: For our very first
broadcast to both Quasar Markets
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:and to Solving America's Problems.
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:Oh, hello my friend.
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:It's been too long.
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:Good to see you.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
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:Good to be back.
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:Good to be here.
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:Good to see your face as always.
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:Love hearing your
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:Dave Conley: I guess we should.
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:I guess we should
introduce ourselves, right?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
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:Yeah.
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:Well, for the Quasar team, I'm a,
I'm a big fan of our boy, Steve.
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:Him and I have been, connections
and, business partners in some
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:degree for almost, almost a decade.
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:He was a trading
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:Dave Conley: Wow.
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:Jerremy Newsome: so I, I learned a lot
from him regarding trading in the markets.
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:I've been in the financial
industries for over 20 years.
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:Learning, studying, trading
actively every single day.
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:And, created a very large stock market
education company in which I have exited.
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:And now I simply pour into individuals
and group containers to help people
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:just maximize the wealth and really
focus on how they can become incredible.
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:Legends for the world, right?
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:Creating opportunities
and creating cash flow.
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:And now Dave and myself have co-created
for the last two years, a podcast and
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:a platform called Solving America's
Problems, where we do just that.
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:We create an amazing of
co-creation between any party.
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:Any idea, any belief system, we bring
it together to really understand
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:how we can actually solve some of
the problems that are facing the
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:greatest country in the world.
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:And there's a lot of them, we do believe
that we can chip away at 'em over time.
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:Dave, who are you?
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:Dave Conley: Oh, who am I?
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:Oh, you, you know, I've,
I've had all the hats.
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:I, I love that.
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:You know, like I, I've, I've
done everything from, Venture
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:capital and, and angel investing.
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:I've done philanthropy,
health and wellness coaching.
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:then I was a senior technology executive,
executive, both for the government
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:and then my first career was in, in
the internet, in, in technology there.
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:and so it's been, it's been such
a, a cool, a, a cool journey.
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:And then Jerremy and I met.
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:A couple of years ago, and
he's like, man, politics.
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:And I'm like, yeah, politics.
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:And it's like he's like.
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:I, I really wanna, change the world.
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:And I'm like, I love, I
love how you're thinking.
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:And so my world has now been all about
some of my passion, which is, is,
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:politics because every, every single one
of my jobs was about, dramatic change.
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:Dramatic change for individuals,
dramatic change with philanthropy,
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:dramatic change for the internet,
dramatic change for government.
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:And so like, that was my running theme.
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:Change, change, change, change, change.
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:And now this is such a, a connection
for me with a passion of, politics
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:and money and, and Jeremy's
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:Lifting Jerremy into, a, a
world where, where he's making
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:a much bigger, difference in a
national and international level.
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:So we, we have a plan,
we have a plan for it.
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:And a big piece of that is a.
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:Is, this podcast both learning and
connecting and, building and all of, not
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:only connecting with you all, but also
learning from our part and connecting with
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:people who are already making a difference
in, solving, America's problems and.
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:I don't know.
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:That's kind of our world.
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:And, and I think the, the dream for, for
this, piece, because you're gonna have
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:links to our regular podcast, our regular
podcast is, is what they call evergreen.
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:like these are, these are, these
are evergreen problems and evergreen
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:solutions, and they're gonna be as
valid as they can be for forever.
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:If that problem in that solution.
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:Don't meet, right?
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:Like you, you, you can turn on a, a
one of our shows from last year and
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:be like, oh, that's still a problem.
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:Oh, those solutions still work.
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:So that's what Evergreen means.
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:And then these, we're gonna
be doing this once a week.
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:if you are a regular, quasar
market person, you see me with,
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:Steven on Tuesdays and Thursday
mornings as the market is opening.
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:you might, you might see
special guest star Jerremy,
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:Alexander Newsom, there as well.
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:But this is for, Jerremy and
I, we, we do current events
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:and we do them pretty often.
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:And they are, they are
like, not evergreen.
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:This is like, this is what's going on
and this is, this is, this is what's
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:going on with both your money and,
and, and the politics and how those two
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:interact and, like it's, it's a thing.
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:So I think that's what we're, we're,
we're thinking on right now, is that.
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:How does that sound?
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:How does that sound?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
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:Sounds awesome.
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:So if you're listening,
interacting with us, thank you.
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:Thanks for being a part of the audience,
and thanks for being a part of the Voice.
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:And, Steven, if you're, if you're out
there, able to soak up this information,
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:thanks also for the opportunity, man.
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:Really appreciate it.
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:So, Dave?
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:Yeah, a lot going on, man.
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:I just got back, nine
hours ago from Japan.
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:Dave Conley: Holy smokes.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
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:Tokyo To Los Angeles.
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:Los Angeles to Vegas.
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:I got a lot of thoughts about Japan.
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:I was there and the Prime Minister
left and came, to the US and.
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:Dave Conley: the then got wildly
insulted, but man, what a politician.
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:She was like, all happy and, and, and
really just the, the, the tongue bath
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:that every international leader has
to like, give, give the administration
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:in order to like, keep 'em happy,
which I think is a brilliant idea.
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:And also have tough conversations.
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:So she was over here talking trade
and, and uh, and, and talking, uh,
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:you know, international conflict.
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:When you know, the president
talks about Pearl Harbor
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:Jerremy Newsome: Bro.
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:I
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:Dave Conley: and she laughed it off.
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:I'm like, brilliant.
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:Jerremy Newsome: I thought, I
thought that was AI for like.
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:I was like, is this, this
has to be a deep fake video.
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:This has to be.
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:I pull it up on a few different sources.
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:I'm like, oh my God, I
think this is actually real.
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:Dave Conley: It's like, could you
give us a heads up if you nuke
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:something again, you know, like, ugh.
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:Jerremy Newsome: oh my gosh.
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:Oh my gosh.
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:This Trump dude.
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:What a character.
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:Dave Conley: He if, if
it wasn't so serious.
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:He is a funny, funny guy.
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:Jerremy Newsome: yeah.
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:Yeah.
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:Well, I, I, I will say this, man.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: you spent a lot of
time in Japan, and you are, and were
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:a big fan, and I am now a huge fan.
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:What a country.
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:Dave Conley: Right.
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:Jerremy Newsome: So cool.
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:Dave Conley: They got
it going on, don't they?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Mm-hmm.
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:Dave Conley: I said, I've always said
that they're like five years in the
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:future and you don't even know it.
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:It's like driving a Tesla, you know?
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:It's like it's in the future and
you're, you get it right now.
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:What?
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:What, what was your experience?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Oh my gosh.
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:Oh my gosh.
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:So I'm trying to really
distill down how they're doing.
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:So much so correct.
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:Because a lot of it feels like a top down
ideology potentially, or some type of.
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:General culture of how they're
winning in such an a formidable way.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: I was in the
third largest city in the world
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:for like four or five days.
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:Tokyo, with approximately, it depends on
how you measure it, but around 40 million
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:people, I didn't see one homeless person
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Not
one nowhere to be found.
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:Dave Conley: Mm-hmm.
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:Jerremy Newsome: What?
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:Right.
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:Okay.
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:So, and I drove all around Tokyo.
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:I mean,
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:Dave Conley: right.
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:Jerremy Newsome: I wasn't like staying
in a super, mean, I was staying in
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:a nice hotel, but I wasn't in there.
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:The only, I, I left, I walked
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: lot, drove around a lot.
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:Not a single homeless person.
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:Dave Conley: Wow.
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:Jerremy Newsome: two I could,
I could have eaten off of them.
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:They were so clean.
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:No
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:Dave Conley: That's what I told you.
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:I told you that right before
I was like, oh, guess what?
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:No, no trash cans.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Still
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:Dave Conley: like everybody's
like, take your stuff with you
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:Jerremy Newsome: oh man.
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:Dave Conley: crazy.
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:Right,
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:Jerremy Newsome: I mean, just,
just absolutely immaculate.
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:I mean,
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:Dave Conley: right.
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:' Jerremy Newsome: cause that size
of city, like I've mentioned a
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:few times in the podcast, right?
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:I live in Las Vegas and it
looks like someone purposely.
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:Is littering Las Vegas, like someone
drives around with a truck and just gets
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:paid to throw things out the window.
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:that's what most of Las Vegas looks like.
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:we, we have a, we barely
have 3 million people.
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:And all around Las Vegas,
homeless people everywhere.
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:good grief, Tokyo just
absolutely smashed it.
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:And I went to other cities as
well, so it wasn't just Tokyo.
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:I mean I visited five or six other
major large cities, same thing.
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:clean streets, the people
are very nice everywhere.
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:Uh, no homeless and the big one,
Dave, that I'm still trying to
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:wrap my head around and I'm being
as literal as I possibly can here.
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:I saw less than five overweight
individuals, less than five.
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:and I mean maybe 10 a
dozen pudgy, pudgy people.
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:Like, ah, you
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: we've all been a little
pudgy in our lives at some point, right?
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:Like me and you both have, it's like,
okay, we ate a little bit too many
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:cookies, maybe had too much beer.
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:less than 12, I mean.
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:I saw millions of people a day
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: all visibly healthy.
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:I say visibly,
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: always be things
under the hood, but what, what?
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:no, homeless.
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:Everyone's nice.
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:Everything is clean.
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:healthy, and it's the
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: city in the world.
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:I'm blown away.
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:I'm actually truly trying to figure
out how they're pulling this off.
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:The cost of food.
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:The cheapest I've ever experienced
in any developed nation.
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:Dave Conley: No kidding.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Oh my gosh, dude.
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:Dave Conley: And it wasn't just
like the, the, the exchange rate.
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:It was like everywhere.
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:Jerremy Newsome: And it, yeah.
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:And it, and it also wasn't like,
we weren't eating terrible food.
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:I mean, I went to a sushi restaurant that
was, the, the color of this ahi tuna.
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:Was perfect.
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:I mean, the flavor, the me and
eight people ate and drank like
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:kings for three hours, three
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:Dave Conley: Wow.
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:Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: US dollars.
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:Dave Conley: Oh, come on.
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:Jerremy Newsome: I'm serious.
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:I'm serious.
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:I like, this is a, this
is a, they're, they're,
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:Dave Conley: Wow.
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:Jerremy Newsome: they
didn't measure something.
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:Correct.
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:This was a, one of the, one of the sushi
buffet, places like the conveyor belts.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: was incredible, man.
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:I'm, I mean, I'm blown away and I mean,
that happened over and over and over.
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:I, I went to a Kobe beef restaurant
that I ate, some of the steak there,
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:and I actually cried a tear, like
water precipitation came outta my
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:face as I was eating this food.
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:it, it was incredible.
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:I just had the
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:Dave Conley: Amazing.
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:Jerremy Newsome: such an awesome country,
amazing city, amazing people out of last.
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:Dave Conley: Wow.
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:so.
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:Did you get underneath that?
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:I mean, like, was it like where,
where, where is that right?
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:Like I, I, I did, I, I did some
of my international residency
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:for my, my master's there.
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:That was a long time ago.
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:Not a long, because I'm old now.
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:Jerremy Newsome: it was a very long
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:Dave Conley: I, I walked right into that.
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:No, very, very long time ago.
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:Back in the early 20 teens.
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:it, it felt like so many things
were just sort of, culturally, just
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:like built in, but also a, not only
demand of the culture, but just
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:like the, the practice of people.
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:Like, it was like people
were not putting up with.
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:Litter or people, poor performance
or saying, like, it is like, no,
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:we're not gonna have homeless.
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:Like, that's barbaric, right?
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:Like there's a, there's an empathy
and a a, upleveling a, a, like a
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:demand of like, be your best self.
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:And that's, that's a part of
the fabric of our society.
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:So like that's a, that's,
that's something else.
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:But there's also, there's, there's.
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:There was also not a lot of diversity,
like there was a lot of Japanese,
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:like, like Japanese and, and so like,
you do not have a lot of people from
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:all over the planet and having this
big giant mixing bowl, and it's,
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:and it's a relatively small country.
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:So like, there was a, there was,
I mean, I noticed that as well.
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:I don't, I don't know where, like
underneath all of this, what, what is it?
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:What can we learn?
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:What can we learn from the Japanese?
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:Jerremy Newsome: it, I think
you said the word cultural,
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:like it's, it's some level of.
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:Just of integrity maybe or some
level of is who we are at our core.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:Jerremy Newsome: I mean, when's the last
president I, I, I would like to know,
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:I'm sure we can search it, but the last
president was like, this country's dirty.
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:Let's clean it up.
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:I mean, it is like America's dirty.
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:Dave Conley: Right.
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:Jerremy Newsome: dirty now.
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:Granted, it's huge.
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:I get it.
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:There's a lot of America to clean up.
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:good grief, we're talking to any
city, every city, all of them.
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:most roads,
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:Dave Conley: Right.
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:Jerremy Newsome: they're just filthy.
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:There's trash everywhere.
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:There's literally, literally everywhere.
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:Dave Conley: Yeah.
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:It's gross.
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:Jerremy Newsome: and yeah, it's gross.
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:I mean, I don't know, like just
having some level of appreciation
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:for where we're at seems.
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:just miserably underwhelming, right?
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:Like it's just not really there.
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:And again, many people might go,
well, America's so much larger.
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:It's like physically landmass.
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:Yes, of course, but Japan's
only half the size of America.
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:150 ish million people Total.
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:It's not small.
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:again, granted most of 'em live in one,
a couple places, but geez, like those
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:cities were and clean and, and it was
just really, really mind blowing how
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:well they were run and operated and how
much, the hygiene was taken care of.
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:And every single public bathroom,
unless, unless you were in like a
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:Buddhist shrine, kind of in the middle
of nowhere, almost every bathroom had.
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:a $2,000 toilet,
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:Dave Conley: Oh yeah.
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:Toto Totos the jam.
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:Jerremy Newsome: yeah.
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:Heated seats and all
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:Dave Conley: Oh.
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:Jerremy Newsome: So that was,
that was quite interesting.
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:May I, I really feel like it's
some level of a top down approach.
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:I did, I
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:Dave Conley: Hmm.
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:Jerremy Newsome: ask many of the, citizens
and people that I was interacting with
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:that spoke good enough English for me to
have that conversation, like in depth.
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:And the one that I got.
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:Really was that Japanese men and
women are too proud to be homeless.
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:That's what I heard from them.
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:Like, they're like, we're,
we're just too proud.
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:We're not going to accept it.
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:It's just not part of society.
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:We just don't believe
that that should happen.
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:Like that's just a
fascinating belief system.
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:Again, where'd you get that from?
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:Like what is it a cultural thing, and
obviously there's some degree of it that
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:it is, but it's also been passed down
and it's been carried for more than.
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:A few decades, obviously, and it's just
really remarkable to me how they have kept
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:such a level of integris, and integrity
in their day-to-day activities and
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:their faith and their beliefs and their
operations in the way they see the world.
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:It's really, really fascinating.
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:Dave Conley: God, I love that.
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:so many of the problems that we've
approached in the last, like year and
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:a half, like we, we get some running
themes and, one of the running themes
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:is like, where does all the money go?
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:That's, we just pour money in into things.
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:And the other one is, is, is the
tremendous power of, of community.
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:The tremendous power of, of parenting,
the tremendous power of, of, of friends.
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:And, and when, when some of that
civilization gets like a little
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:bit of civilization dropping away
really has a cascading effect.
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:like it's, it, it shows up
in the, in the littering.
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:It shows up in the, in the, the schools
that are, are failing and not having
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:like a real laser-like, attention to be
like, no, this is going to be amazing
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:and our, our kids are gonna thrive.
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:It's gonna show up in.
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:People who are in prison, and there
for a long time, and the success
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:that comes out of prison are those
that had to do it themselves.
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:And like, man, we could make so
much change with, with our prison
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:system if there were actual
programs of rehabilitation.
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:But at the core of that, like we talked
to person after person after person.
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:Was this strong desire of change and
the strong desire of, of excellence
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:and the strong desire of like, okay,
this is going to be different now and
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:I'm going to seek and have mentors.
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:so like.
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:Those are like, that feels like a couple
of the running themes that we, I mean,
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:other than, I mean, like, changing
voting, it's like we, we landed on
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:a, on a couple of themes right there.
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:It's like, man, the
money in this is crazy.
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:and and then it was like,
well, stop gerrymandering
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:and it's okay to have an id.
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:You know?
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:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
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:Yeah.
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:Right.
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:Agreed.
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:Dave Conley: Hmm.
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:Jerremy Newsome: Really some really,
really cool, just beautiful realizations.
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:And, what's, what's going on right
now with this Iran situation, man?
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:How is this impacting your political
sphere and what you see out there?
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:Dave Conley: I went back and looked
at some of my notes, uh, three weeks
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:ago as this was just kicking off.
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:and I was, on with, with Steven.
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:And, at, at that time, at the
beginning of this, it was, like the
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:markets weren't really doing, like,
like, Oil was sort of up and down.
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:it, it seemed like there was a real break
in reality, between markets and reality.
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:I mean, like mar like what was happening
politically and internationally versus
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:like what was being reflected like,
there was a total risk divergence and.
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:Politically, I was like, man, I don't mean
to be a dor or a panic in here, but every,
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:every political person that I value has
said repeatedly like, this is a, this is
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:like, you guys don't know what's, what's
what, how this, how badly this can go.
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:and it's more likely than not
because the United States and Israel.
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:Are not in control here.
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:it is not like anything that we have
seen and fundamentally, the United
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:States and Israel were, fighting a war.
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:Not only a war of choice,
but a war of violence.
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:And the Iranians could never
fight a war of violence.
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:They are fighting a war of.
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:Economics, they have to, they can't
go head to head with Israel and
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:head to head to the United States.
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:That's crazy talk.
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:So having an economic impact is
where you actually can make a
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:difference, because fundamentally, it
is an existential problem for Iran.
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:existentially, they're
like, we, we want safety.
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:and, we want economic freedom
and we don't want to be bombed.
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:And, like on and on and on.
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:It's like the normal stuff, regardless
of what you think of, the Iranian
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:world and, and how they're run.
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:like I, I, from my, my.
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:My partner who actually is over in that
part of the world and talks about, it's
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:like, look, it's a very conservative
country, but I think the Americans
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:have a very, very, like, not a very
good view as to what's actually there.
429
:yeah, it's conservative and yeah, they
don't have a great government and, uh,
430
:people complain about their government.
431
:But yeah, of course you see
it like they don't work.
432
:Burkas.
433
:Like, that's dumb.
434
:like they, that's, that's not
even part of their religion.
435
:That's, that's on the, on the
Sunni side, not the Shia side.
436
:and like, and they're very educated
and, and like, they have a stock
437
:market, like, come on guys.
438
:like it's a big as country, that,
that people complain about their,
439
:their government and, and then she
said, kind of like you, and I'm like.
440
:I'm like, oh yeah, you,
you, you got me there.
441
:and then it's a very big
existential, issue for Israel.
442
:like they want everybody around them
to be broken so that they feel safe.
443
:And so I, I get it on both those sides
and here we have the United States,
444
:being like, okay, like we're in this.
445
:And so like, we have three people in
this, and the person who I, not the
446
:person, the, the group that is deciding
the escalation factor of this and the
447
:escalation ladder on this and whether
this is going to end or not, is Iran,
448
:like, it, it is not it, like Israel is, it
can't stand up and say, okay, we're done.
449
:United States can't, Trump can't come
out and say, okay, we're done because,
450
:Iran will always be like, okay.
451
:Look, you've, you've screwed us twice.
452
:Like you bombed the crap of us last year.
453
:like we came and we talked to you
twice now, and each time you either
454
:killed our people or like you're
not a, you're like, we can't talk
455
:to you because we can't trust you.
456
:And I'm like, ah.
457
:As soon as you start putting yourself
in at least a little bit of, of the
458
:shoes, of whoever it is, you're quote
unquote fighting, you're like, of course
459
:they're going to like, like strangle the
United States and strangle the world,
460
:economically, and they are succeeding.
461
:they are going to do that,
until they get what they want.
462
:And, I don't see that real risk.
463
:In the market, and that's what
I want to know from you because
464
:it wasn't there three weeks ago.
465
:And I've, I've checked Trading View
a couple of times and I'm like, well,
466
:okay, the 10 year note's going up,
I don't even know what that means.
467
:oil is hovering in areas like a hundred
bucks, but every supply shock that we
468
:have ever had has resulted in a recession.
469
:Every single one.
470
:and I'm not hearing, I'm not hearing
hearing, anybody say, okay, what's
471
:the wind beneath the wing winds of
the, like, how is this time different?
472
:Like, it's, it's not there.
473
:And I'm like, okay, well
convince me that it's different.
474
:So like, I mean, what, what's
going on on the money side of this?
475
:Because it's.
476
:There's already a problem with the
reality on the political side and
477
:underneath the political reality
of it that's actually there.
478
:It's like it's bad and it's not
going to get better until Iran says.
479
:Jerremy Newsome: Well, from the money
perspective, I mean, it's, really like
480
:what you said is this has happened before
and it seems like it's the, I mean, it
481
:almost seems like a carbon copy what
has not only happened in Afghanistan,
482
:insert other, Republicans that were
in office that were doing all this
483
:with the weapons, mass destruction,
saying they have all these things
484
:and they're doing all these things.
485
:We're like, we can kind of study what
has happened before and when that did
486
:occur, I mean, the markets were very
high markets are quite high again.
487
:So there is definitely some
reasoning and some rationale that we
488
:actually do and can have, at least
a pullback in the general markets.
489
:I would, I would like to see that.
490
:And the truth is we kind
of are and kind of did.
491
:So the s and p, We went up to
almost, almost 7,000, 7,000, sorry.
492
:7,002 was the high back in January,
so we made a new all time high.
493
:And then we have pulled back
about 7% since then in the
494
:last two or three months.
495
:we have had that quote unquote
pullback, just generally speaking.
496
:But the, from the general
macro perspective, it seems
497
:like to me that we do need.
498
:little bit more of, I wouldn't call it
a recession, but we definitely do need
499
:a little bit more of a, of a resting
period in the general broader markets.
500
:Let this really digest, let this calm
down, let people kind of just see and feel
501
:and know and understand what's happening,
before we do end up going higher.
502
:And I think that we can, 'cause
there's still a lot of money.
503
:A lot of money on the sidelines,
a lot of people kind of waiting
504
:it out to see what's gonna happen.
505
:And there's always
something with Trump, right?
506
:There's always like a, oh,
it's an interest rate thing.
507
:It's gonna be a Fed thing.
508
:It's gonna be a war thing.
509
:Let's see how this
Venezuela thing happens.
510
:Let's see how this first year goes.
511
:There's a lot of people that are on
the sidelines and fortunately slash
512
:unfortunately, when the markets go
a little bit higher, that's when
513
:people are gonna start piling in.
514
:And they don't want to
buy it when it's down.
515
:'cause they're always
gonna have that fear.
516
:But I do think, and I kind of get
the sense that we, we can and should
517
:have actually a little bit lower
of a, of pullback before, before
518
:things get a little bit better,
just from a financial standpoint.
519
:But the, the real cause and the
real issue that a lot of people are
520
:feeling is gonna be the inflation.
521
:I mean, higher oil prices,
higher gas prices, everything
522
:is gonna be more expensive.
523
:And that, that happened
immediately, overnight.
524
:I mean, in Vegas.
525
:The prices of gas doubled in a week.
526
:So that is a very, very real felt
pinch, here in the US and I think
527
:that that is gonna have a trickle down
effect in the not too distant future.
528
:markets go.
529
:Down a little bit in the next of weeks.
530
:and then that's probably gonna create
some level of a bottoming effect.
531
:And then as we start to go higher, the
new money that's still out there on the
532
:sidelines does begin to kind of pile in.
533
:'cause there is still a lot, there's
a lot of money out there waiting and
534
:figuring out where to actually place it.
535
:Dave Conley: So let's, okay.
536
:I hear you right.
537
:I'm still looking for the good news here.
538
:So yeah, there's a lot of money on the
sides and I, at least, at least because
539
:you, you taught me well on like, well.
540
:The markets have a lot of
quote unquote feelings, right?
541
:Like there's a lot of, like
that drives a lot of stuff.
542
:And then you put algorithms behind it with
these, crazy computers and like you're,
543
:it, it just magnifies your feelings.
544
:and there is a facts, like there
are real facts behind this.
545
:And you said one of them, which
is key, which is inflation.
546
:Gas is up 25% in the United States.
547
:And, diesel, I mean, every, everything
that moves, I mean, diesel's up over
548
:almost 40% just in the United States.
549
:like, so that's anything that moves,
550
:Jerremy Newsome: Mm.
551
:Dave Conley: air, like,
air fuel, I don't know.
552
:What, what do you call it?
553
:Air jet, jet fuel, like that's
going through the roof, I guess.
554
:In the United States, we're
gonna feel it the least because
555
:we are the richest, right?
556
:like the us So like a, like a lot of the
fertilizer that's like bound up in all
557
:of this, the United States bought has,
like, because we're in growing season,
558
:the United States has bought a lot of it.
559
:so we're gonna have the lowest high gas in
diesel prizes, but the rest of the world.
560
:Is, is is not good.
561
:And we are an interconnected world, right?
562
:like Indonesia, like they
are, they are in dire straits.
563
:Philippines is like,
okay, don't come to work.
564
:there are lots of places in the world
where, like a lot of manufacturing, a
565
:lot of trade, a lot of things happen.
566
:I mean, Belgium is saying,
Hey, conserve fuel.
567
:So like this is, driving
into European economies.
568
:And the one thing I know about
feelings and markets is, is,
569
:markets do not like chaos.
570
:All we have is chaos right now.
571
:And a very chaotic, United States
a completely, like, unpredictable,
572
:I saw, I saw Trump, like right
before we started, taping here.
573
:Trump was like, okay, we're
not gonna bomb your stuff.
574
:We're not gonna bomb your power plants.
575
:We're not gonna, commit
a heinous war crime.
576
:So like, thanks.
577
:But, then the Israelis came up,
like Israelis came in and started
578
:bombing infrastructure, right?
579
:So like, it's,
580
:Jerremy Newsome: Mm-hmm.
581
:Dave Conley: the Iranians are
like, okay, like game's still on.
582
:okay, so let's, let me put it
this way, let's flip it around.
583
:Let's just say that that
Epic Fury operation, epic
584
:Fury is a, an epic success.
585
:like it's soon and like everybody's
shaking hands and like there's a big,
586
:big hug in Tarran with, with, Trump
and the ayatollah, like everybody's
587
:shaking hands, bebe's like high fiving.
588
:Let's say that, like, let's say
that's our dream world now, right?
589
:What's, what's the best economic
good that can happen out of that?
590
:Because I, I'm.
591
:I'm struggling figuring that piece out.
592
:like everybody's saying, Hey, like at
least on the Israeli and the, and the
593
:Amer, or at least on the American side,
it's like, Hey, don't worry about it.
594
:It's going to be fine.
595
:We've had 20% of the fuel, stopped
for now three weeks, and that's
596
:a big kink in the fire hose.
597
:And when you un kink that, it's not like.
598
:It all goes out all at once
and like everybody's happy.
599
:Like there, there's like the, the market
is not gonna be able to absorb all of that
600
:because you have to use it for something.
601
:And then like a lot of it's offline.
602
:like for maybe years is, is what,
like one of the gccs are saying, it's
603
:like, okay, like things are screwy.
604
:So we're not gonna return to like
the heyday of, of three weeks ago.
605
:And everybody's like,
okay, everything's fine.
606
:But what's after this?
607
:Like, all I see is bad news.
608
:like, this doesn't get
better and it gets worse.
609
:And like it's an economic
war more than anything else.
610
:And like, you can't bomb
your way to peace on this.
611
:Like, you have to land a bunch
of troops in order to like,
612
:like control the country.
613
:Like no Air War has ever solved anything.
614
:Like you have to, you have to put
on troops, which, is like Americans
615
:gonna like, be okay with that.
616
:I'm not, like there should be
like riding in the streets.
617
:I got, my sister here and she's
like, my kids are gonna go, straight
618
:to like, hell no on that one.
619
:So like, what's the
best economic scenario?
620
:I haven't heard it.
621
:I mean, like Scott Bessant has been
the only person from the administration
622
:that's been out there the last two
weeks, talking about these things.
623
:They do not have Marco Rubio.
624
:They do not have Hegseth.
625
:They do not have the vice president.
626
:It is the economic guys.
627
:It's the economic council.
628
:what's his name?
629
:Hesser.
630
:and and, and, Bassett, the
Treasury Secretary, like who cares?
631
:Like, I do not care.
632
:But that means that they're looking at
this through an economic lens, but they're
633
:talking about it through a violence lens.
634
:And I'm like, ah, so what's the best case?
635
:Like, what's the great case
here of like, oh, economically,
636
:this is gonna be awesome.
637
:Is there one.
638
:Jerremy Newsome: I think the only
one is a, an asset bubble in the
639
:markets, in the stock market.
640
:other assets will feel pretty pinched
and pretty unsexy for a while, but
641
:with the asset bubble, what that would
sound like is, yeah, Trump big, high
642
:five, big hug, big celebratory moment.
643
:They, they announced some, they, he
announces some special deal they've
644
:created where they release oil.
645
:They, they cheapen it and we have
back to a dollar a gallon in the us.
646
:supply like crazy.
647
:We get so much.
648
:The prices dropped dramatically and.
649
:That creates, in my opinion, a shift.
650
:But because right now we're
in an, an energy, energy has
651
:been increasing dramatically.
652
:You mentioned like an economic war.
653
:So like the energy sector has been
going bananas for most of January,
654
:so January, February, March.
655
:I mean, energy's up energy stocks,
generally are up like 35, 40, 40 5%.
656
:So.
657
:it's an energy company, it's
probably doing pretty well.
658
:you have energy come back
online, tons of supply.
659
:Again, this is best
case scenario that we're
660
:Dave Conley: Right.
661
:I'm, I'm looking for it right,
like, because I'm not seeing it.
662
:Jerremy Newsome: so, so energy stocks
go down, because you have more supply
663
:and then the money rushes back into
the companies and the stocks and the.
664
:People that need the energy to go higher.
665
:and that creates a really, really
good resurgence in the stock market.
666
:And then, like I said, all the money
that's on the sidelines, they've
667
:been waiting for something to happen.
668
:So that's when they all kind of
pile in and say, all right, sweet.
669
:Well, war in the Middle East is over.
670
:that creates a Ukraine, Russia
piece treaty, Hey, we solved Iran.
671
:I'm Trump, I'm the greatest.
672
:You guys need to figure this out.
673
:Then, Ukraine and, and Putin
become best buddies again.
674
:And then that.
675
:Precipice sends
676
:Dave Conley: Uh,
677
:Jerremy Newsome: wave
678
:Dave Conley: up.
679
:Okay?
680
:Jerremy Newsome: Open
opens up all kinds of
681
:Dave Conley: Okay.
682
:Jerremy Newsome: That's the
683
:Dave Conley: I hear you on Russia.
684
:Okay.
685
:I hear you on Russia.
686
:Actually, I, I was like.
687
:Where is the supply
actually gonna come from?
688
:It can't come from Venezuela.
689
:That's, that's, I, I can't believe
I've actually learned about
690
:something about these commodities.
691
:like Venezuela has this like, like gooey
mess that, funny enough, can really
692
:only, there's only a couple places
on the planet that can process it.
693
:And one of 'em in, most of it's
in, in Houston, I think, surprise.
694
:So that's, that's very intensive stuff.
695
:and then where else could it come from?
696
:Because there's, there's pieces of the
Gulf states that are offline and it,
697
:at least we don't hear what's actually
going on because they are so tightly
698
:controlled and what they've actually said.
699
:With these, I don't even know what this
word actually means, force majeure.
700
:I had to, I had to look it up.
701
:It's like, we're not, we're, we're
not paying attention to the contract
702
:we signed because we can't, right.
703
:Like, active bombs, I guess.
704
:like there is going to be a reduction in
the amount of fuel and distillates and
705
:distillates and, and stuff, for a while.
706
:it's in some cases, years, they, natural
gases like pinch, but the supply could
707
:come from Russia is what I'm hearing.
708
:I'm like, oh, all right.
709
:Well, yeah, because that's been
sanctioned for a long time.
710
:If we just turned on the engine there.
711
:I mean, that sounds pretty good.
712
:I mean, I mean, but, and Europe
has to be like, okay with that,
713
:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
714
:Dave Conley: that's not, that's not just,
715
:Yeah.
716
:Jerremy Newsome: This is still,
this, this is still best case.
717
:And I, I think that that's, I
think that that's the only, the
718
:only way we get outta this pickle.
719
:And then, again, Trump paints himself as
the, the war hero and everyone, it was
720
:right around, it's right around 250 year.
721
:4th celebration, of this country, right?
722
:A bunch of money comes into the
markets and we, and we soar higher.
723
:And it feels like right, that's what's
happening is some, some people, some
724
:people are feeling like they're becoming
wealthier because there are assets
725
:that are increasing dramatically.
726
:but in reality, the underlying
cost of everything they pay for
727
:is also astronomically higher.
728
:So
729
:Dave Conley: Yeah, the, the inflation is,
730
:Jerremy Newsome: out.
731
:Dave Conley: inflation is sticky, right?
732
:I, I think that's the phrase.
733
:So like the inflation is already
being slammed in the economy and
734
:we'd have to see deflation happen.
735
:by cheap fuel coming in, right?
736
:Or is it gonna be like permanent
because it, it's gonna go into
737
:everything and it's gonna be in
stuff that we don't even know, right?
738
:Like, like, like medicine and,
and like back, back in Monday.
739
:like we, we studied theory.
740
:We studied theory of constraints, and
it's because we lived in a global world.
741
:And the idea is that it, you don't
keep inventory around you, just,
742
:you, you make it as it comes in.
743
:And like the supply chain is the thing.
744
:So now the supply chain is broken.
745
:Like it wasn't COVID because.
746
:Like people can't make things because
the, the, the ingredients that come in
747
:are, like it's not there and, or the
money or the oil is being sucked up by
748
:wealthier countries like Japan is going
to like, like, pay anything they want
749
:in order to get the fuel that they need.
750
:Right.
751
:Like they are going to have, like
the United States, like we are net
752
:producers, but like the prices are gonna
go up because it's a global economy.
753
:So, but like making drugs or making
detergents or whatever in another
754
:country is gonna be like, oh my god.
755
:like we don't have this, oil ingredient.
756
:And it might be that far, the way I'd put
it is it's like a Boy Scout troop walking,
757
:through the woods and the guy up front at
the very beginning, like, bends over to
758
:tie his shoe and then burst into flames,
like, like that's, that's where we're at.
759
:because there's, there's, there's
a, there is a bit of a demand
760
:destruction that's gonna take a lot
longer to get through the system.
761
:And, I don't know if we know what that is.
762
:Like.
763
:Okay, you, you tell me.
764
:Like, I, I saw that gold was like dropping
and I know gold has been like on a tear.
765
:And the only thing I can think of
is that, like those are, are large
766
:institutional holders or even nation
states that are, are liquidating
767
:their positions and moving, like,
and, and using it for something else.
768
:because that's not individual investors.
769
:Those are, those are the big
guys being like, okay, skedaddle.
770
:I, I thought gold was like a safe
haven, but they're, they're, they've
771
:gotta be using that for something else.
772
:I, I saw a little bit of like, the same
thing with the, the Bitcoiny folks.
773
:like the, so there's a, there
money is going somewhere, right?
774
:there's, there's some flight to safety.
775
:I don't know what this means,
but I saw one guy on X say.
776
:Last year when all the tariffs
went in and the stock market went
777
:crazy, like what people were paying
attention to was the bond market.
778
:And the bond market got to 4.5%.
779
:That means money got very expensive
and exact that, that exact same
780
:moment, Trump said, okay, we're
putting all these tariffs on pause.
781
:So I, I think that there's, they're,
they're speculating, I guess
782
:they're saying is that there's a.
783
:Like if Trump treats the stock
market as his own personal approval
784
:rating of the economy, that the bond
market is even more important to
785
:him because he is a real estate guy.
786
:I don't know what any of that means as
far as gold, Bitcoin, and, and treasuries.
787
:Like what, what do people need to know
or what, like how does that affect me?
788
:I don't know.
789
:You tell me.
790
:I, I know nothing.
791
:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah,
I, it's a valid point.
792
:I, I don't think that Trump cares
about the bond market as much
793
:as people probably want him to.
794
:I think he cares about two things, real
estate prices and the stock market.
795
:Dave Conley: Mm-hmm.
796
:Jerremy Newsome: market's
gonna be his barometer.
797
:He wants real estate to go up for
him and all of his rich buddies.
798
:the stock market is how he wants the
general public to kinda like view him.
799
:Dave Conley: Yeah.
800
:Jerremy Newsome: he is, he is going
to leave the office with a higher
801
:market and he'll do anything in
his power to, to make that happen.
802
:And this is, this is one of those
ploys right now, because the market's
803
:like three and a half hours ago.
804
:We were down 1.5%
805
:overnight, right?
806
:People were like, oh
gosh, here, here it comes.
807
:Like World War II is happening.
808
:Well, since then, we're up 1.6%.
809
:So we've had a
810
:Dave Conley: Oh,
811
:Jerremy Newsome: per,
812
:Dave Conley: on.
813
:Jerremy Newsome: had a 3% move higher
the markets in the last two and a half
814
:hours because Trump posted, specifically
that they're not gonna, they're
815
:not gonna bomb the infrastructure.
816
:Hey, we're, we're, we're.
817
:was it.
818
:Dave Conley: Thanks.
819
:Jerremy Newsome: thanks.
820
:Dave Conley: kidding.
821
:We're gonna, oh wait, we're gonna wait.
822
:We're gonna wait to bomb
the infrastructure until
823
:the markets close on Friday.
824
:That's what I just read.
825
:Jerremy Newsome: Probably right?
826
:It's pretty
827
:Dave Conley: God.
828
:Jerremy Newsome: So we.
829
:We terrify.
830
:Everyone was terrified overnight and
super scared in that one post, and
831
:now everything's perfectly fine again.
832
:So, yeah, it is really, really interesting
to see just the general distortion.
833
:But what I am noticing for sure is
that's he, he knows what strings to pull,
834
:tariffs w War, and there's gonna be one
other one that still hasn't happened yet.
835
:I'm gonna let you know when it occurs, but
836
:Dave Conley: Mm.
837
:Jerremy Newsome: something
related to real estate.
838
:Whatever that string is.
839
:people will be angry when it's
happening and then he'll release
840
:it after the market's down enough
saying, okay, all, everything's fine.
841
:'cause that's how he's helping
every, everyone get in.
842
:I mean, he is the, he is the trader
of all insider traders right now.
843
:he knows what's going on.
844
:He knows why it's going on,
and a lot of people are on the
845
:inside are benefiting from it.
846
:So, it is, it is quite interesting to see
how it's moving, see how it's shaping up.
847
:Dave Conley: I, I'm, I am
going to stick to my guns.
848
:the, the, the US and and Israel are not
in control of this escalation ladder.
849
:They are, they are fundamentally fighting
a different war than the Iranians.
850
:And the only, the only way
this could possibly, and
851
:it's like the slimmest thing.
852
:is, is, destabilizing the economy
even more somehow in Iran.
853
:And the IRGC actually starts to
lose control of, of the country
854
:because it's a very, it's, it's
a very, it's a very big country.
855
:but a lot of that ha would have to do
with, with, with seizing their ability
856
:to make money, which is all in oil.
857
:Jerremy Newsome: Mm-hmm.
858
:Dave Conley: That's a lot.
859
:that's not one or few.
860
:That's not a few troops.
861
:That's a lot.
862
:And then like our, our young men and
our young women are coming home in
863
:bags and I just, I don't see, I do
not see the American people putting
864
:up with any of that so politically.
865
:There, there is nothing, like Steven
wanted me to actually like, put my,
866
:my, my flag in the ground of like,
what's gonna happen at midterms.
867
:And three weeks ago I
was like, I don't know.
868
:Now I'm, I am certain that there is,
there is with without some weird,
869
:something that I can't even expect.
870
:There is nothing about the Republicans
holding onto now the Senate.
871
:Or, Congress and like you're going
to see a demand by people, that Trump
872
:used to have, like he used to have
the, the, the middle of the rotors.
873
:like, like you and me of like, don't put
us in a, in a, in a, in a category, like
874
:we're, we're not of the left and we are
not of the right as far as the, the labels
875
:go, but we are of the left and the right.
876
:It depends on the issue, right?
877
:like he doesn't have the
young people anymore.
878
:and, he has, lost, swing voters that,
that that have, that are, that are
879
:fickle and that that's gonna happen with,
particularly the Hispanic communities.
880
:like Texas might go blue, and.
881
:Jerremy Newsome: That'd be wild.
882
:Huh?
883
:Dave Conley: This is a, and that is now
we're in the realm of not only is the,
884
:congress gonna be fundamentally stalled.
885
:We are gonna be in like
impeachment land again.
886
:We are going to be in more chaos, right?
887
:Like we are in like extra, extra
chaos for the rest of this year.
888
:Again, we're not in control.
889
:If we're not in control.
890
:That means this is long and drawn out.
891
:It's been, oh, it's gonna be
a weekend, is how it started.
892
:And then it's like, okay,
we're gonna be done.
893
:like we've already won.
894
:We're going to win.
895
:like it's gonna be done this week.
896
:I was like, we've already won.
897
:We've sunk their army.
898
:They can't fire any missiles or, or.
899
:like missiles and it's
gonna be another two weeks.
900
:And I'm like, okay, they're still firing
missiles, but now we need regime change.
901
:I'm like, okay, great.
902
:oh, it's about nuke.
903
:Like it's, like it is constantly shifting.
904
:And to think that it's going to quote
unquote in this week is, is is foolish.
905
:Right?
906
:Or next week or six months from now,
because again, we're not in control.
907
:it would.
908
:The, the kind of things to that
we need it to quote unquote seize
909
:the control back into the United
States is, is, is devastating
910
:Things that we cannot think of.
911
:It's a lot of dead bodies or it's,
like the, the use of nuclear weapons
912
:is not zero and it needs to be zero.
913
:Right.
914
:like if there's any percentage of nuclear
weapons, we are, we are in, in no bueno.
915
:Right.
916
:so I.
917
:That's where I sound like a panicking,
maybe even a little tinfoil hat.
918
:but I, I do not see the
political reality of today.
919
:I.
920
:you and I deal with, or I deal with
probabilities and, and it's like, I,
921
:man, if I was in Vegas, I, this is,
you and I talked about these, these
922
:prediction, I'm gonna say gambling
markets, the IES of the world.
923
:I'm like, chips all in on, on these,
it's like, if anybody's like, has any
924
:money on this ending soon, I, I, I am
fine with writing a check for that one.
925
:Like, like cash that on,
six ways from Sunday.
926
:Okay.
927
:All right.
928
:We are wrapping up.
929
:You are.
930
:You are muted my friend.
931
:This is our.
932
:Jerremy Newsome: Still trying
to figure out how to mute it.
933
:Uh, learning technology.
934
:Yeah.
935
:Ladies and gentlemen, we hope that
this was viable, helpful, useful.
936
:It just gave you some, some fun
background noise to listen to and
937
:to soak in on because we're gonna
be here and pour into the team and.
938
:just support everyone's best vision of
how we can together create more wealth,
939
:more opportunity, more awareness for
everyone who's involved, that we can
940
:slowly increase the consciousness and
the conscious awareness and the way
941
:that people are educated, the way that
we're learning, and the way that we
942
:can shift together to create a bigger,
brighter, bolder future for all of us.
943
:Dave, it's been a pleasure as always, man.
944
:Thank you for the information.
945
:Dave Conley: And follow us
on SolveUSApodcast on X and
946
:SolvingAmericasProblemspodcast
on Instagram.
947
:And we'll have a link in this to
also find our glorious podcast.
948
:The.
949
:Thank you all and have a great day.
950
:Here we go.
951
:Hello, ladies and gentlemen,
952
:Jerremy Newsome: Try number seven.
953
:712
954
:Dave Conley: for our very first
broadcast to both Quasar Markets
955
:and to solving America's problems.
956
:Oh, hello my friend.
957
:It's been too long.
958
:Good to see you.
959
:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
960
:Good to be back.
961
:Good to be here.
962
:Good to see your face as always.
963
:Love hearing your
964
:Dave Conley: I guess we should.
965
:I guess we should
introduce ourselves, right?
966
:Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
967
:Yeah.
968
:Well, for the Quasar team, uh, I'm
a, I'm a big fan of our boy, Steve.
969
:Him and I have been, uh, connections
and, uh, business partners in some
970
:degree for almost, almost a decade.
971
:He was a trading
972
:Dave Conley: Wow.
973
:Jerremy Newsome: so I, I learned a lot
from him regarding trading in the markets.
974
:I've been in the financial
industries for over 20 years.
975
:Learning, studying, trading
actively every single day.
976
:And, uh, created a very large stock market
education company in which I have exited.
977
:And now I simply pour into individuals
and group containers to help people
978
:just maximize the wealth and really
focus on how they can become incredible.
979
:Legends for the world, right?
980
:Creating opportunities
and creating cash flow.
981
:And now Dave and myself have co-created
for the last two years, a podcast and
982
:a platform called Solving America's
Problems, where we do just that.
983
:We create an amazing of
co-creation between any party.
984
:Any idea, any belief system, we bring
it together to really understand
985
:how we can actually solve some of
the problems that are facing the
986
:greatest country in the world.
987
:And there's a lot of them, we do believe
that we can chip away at 'em over time.
988
:Dave, who are you?
989
:Dave Conley: Oh, who am I?
990
:Oh, uh, you, you know, uh,
I've, I've had all the hats.
991
:I, I love that.
992
:You know, like I, I've, I've done
everything from, uh, from, uh.
993
:Venture capital and, and angel investing.
994
:I've done philanthropy, uh, uh,
health and wellness coaching.
995
:Uh, then I was a senior technology
executive, uh, executive, both for
996
:the government and then uh, for, uh,
uh, my first career was in, in the
997
:internet, in, in technology there.
998
:Uh, and so it's been, it's been
such a, a cool, a, a cool journey.
999
:And then Jerremy and I met.
:
00:49:37,649 --> 00:49:40,829
A couple of years ago, and
he's like, man, politics.
:
00:49:40,889 --> 00:49:42,689
And I'm like, yeah, politics.
:
00:49:42,689 --> 00:49:44,069
And it's like he's like.
:
00:49:44,939 --> 00:49:47,219
I, I really wanna, you
know, change the world.
:
00:49:47,249 --> 00:49:49,409
And I'm like, I love, I
love how you're thinking.
:
00:49:49,559 --> 00:49:54,269
And so my world has now been all
about some of my passion, which is,
:
00:49:54,269 --> 00:49:58,379
is, is, uh, politics because every,
every single one of my jobs was
:
00:49:58,379 --> 00:50:00,209
about, you know, dramatic change.
:
00:50:00,209 --> 00:50:03,269
Dramatic change for individuals,
dramatic change with philanthropy,
:
00:50:03,299 --> 00:50:06,209
dramatic change for the internet,
dramatic change for government.
:
00:50:06,359 --> 00:50:08,039
And so like, that was my running theme.
:
00:50:08,194 --> 00:50:09,754
Change, change, change, change, change.
:
00:50:09,754 --> 00:50:14,314
And now this is such a, a connection
for me with a passion of, of, uh,
:
00:50:14,344 --> 00:50:17,614
politics and money and, and Jeremy's uh.
:
00:50:18,209 --> 00:50:24,269
Lifting Jerremy into, uh, a, uh, uh,
a world where, where he's making a
:
00:50:24,269 --> 00:50:28,469
much bigger, uh, uh, difference in
a national and international level.
:
00:50:28,739 --> 00:50:32,099
So we, we have a plan,
uh, we have a plan for it.
:
00:50:32,099 --> 00:50:33,899
And a big piece of that is a.
:
00:50:34,659 --> 00:50:40,569
Is, uh, this podcast both learning and
connecting and, uh, building and all
:
00:50:40,569 --> 00:50:44,319
of, you know, not only connecting with
you all, but uh, also learning from
:
00:50:44,319 --> 00:50:48,219
our part and connecting with people who
are already making a difference in, uh,
:
00:50:48,219 --> 00:50:51,069
solving, uh, America's problems and.
:
00:50:51,884 --> 00:50:52,364
I don't know.
:
00:50:52,394 --> 00:50:53,114
That's kind of our world.
:
00:50:53,114 --> 00:50:57,944
And, and I think the, the dream for,
for this, uh, uh, piece, because
:
00:50:58,514 --> 00:51:01,634
you're gonna have links to our
regular podcast, our regular podcast
:
00:51:01,634 --> 00:51:03,374
is, is what they call evergreen.
:
00:51:03,464 --> 00:51:07,034
Uh, you know, like these are, these
are, these are evergreen problems and
:
00:51:07,034 --> 00:51:11,864
evergreen solutions, and they're gonna
be as valid as they can be for forever.
:
00:51:12,134 --> 00:51:13,754
If that problem in that solution.
:
00:51:14,349 --> 00:51:15,429
Don't meet, right?
:
00:51:15,429 --> 00:51:19,299
Like you, you, you can turn on a, a
one of our shows from last year and
:
00:51:19,299 --> 00:51:20,619
be like, oh, that's still a problem.
:
00:51:20,649 --> 00:51:21,969
Oh, those solutions still work.
:
00:51:21,969 --> 00:51:23,709
So that's what Evergreen means.
:
00:51:23,829 --> 00:51:26,679
And then these, we're gonna
be doing this once a week.
:
00:51:26,739 --> 00:51:31,839
Uh, if you are a regular, uh, quasar
market person, uh, you see me with,
:
00:51:31,839 --> 00:51:35,619
with, uh, Steven on Tuesdays and Thursday
mornings as the market is opening.
:
00:51:36,559 --> 00:51:39,109
Uh, you might, you might see
special guest star Jerremy,
:
00:51:39,109 --> 00:51:41,029
Alexander Newsom, uh, there as well.
:
00:51:41,029 --> 00:51:45,229
But this is for, uh, Jerremy
and I, we, we do current events
:
00:51:45,229 --> 00:51:46,429
and we do them pretty often.
:
00:51:46,429 --> 00:51:48,979
And they are, uh, they
are like, not evergreen.
:
00:51:48,979 --> 00:51:53,269
This is like, this is what's going on and
this is, this is, uh, this is what's going
:
00:51:53,269 --> 00:51:58,009
on with both your money and, uh, and, and
the politics and how those two interact
:
00:51:58,009 --> 00:52:00,079
and, you know, like it's, it's a thing.
:
00:52:00,139 --> 00:52:02,929
So I think that's what we're, we're,
we're thinking on right now, is that.
:
00:52:03,869 --> 00:52:04,409
How does that sound?
:
00:52:04,409 --> 00:52:05,214
How does that sound?
:
00:52:05,991 --> 00:52:06,281
Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
:
00:52:06,301 --> 00:52:07,041
Sounds awesome.
:
00:52:07,381 --> 00:52:11,006
So if you're listening,
interacting with us, thank you.
:
00:52:11,006 --> 00:52:14,186
Thanks for being a part of the audience,
and thanks for being a part of the Voice.
:
00:52:14,636 --> 00:52:17,306
And, uh, Steven, if you're, uh,
if you're out there, able to
:
00:52:17,306 --> 00:52:20,096
soak up this information, thanks
also for the opportunity, man.
:
00:52:20,186 --> 00:52:21,026
Really appreciate it.
:
00:52:22,016 --> 00:52:22,526
So, Dave?
:
00:52:22,526 --> 00:52:23,786
Yeah, a lot going on, man.
:
00:52:23,786 --> 00:52:30,956
I just got back, uh, nine
hours ago from Japan.
:
00:52:31,484 --> 00:52:32,094
Dave Conley: Holy smokes.
:
00:52:32,906 --> 00:52:33,296
Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
:
00:52:33,476 --> 00:52:35,516
Tokyo To Los Angeles.
:
00:52:35,516 --> 00:52:36,746
Los Angeles to Vegas.
:
00:52:38,501 --> 00:52:40,391
I got a lot of thoughts about Japan.
:
00:52:40,451 --> 00:52:46,811
Um, I was there and the Prime
Minister left and came to the US and.
:
00:52:46,829 --> 00:52:50,069
Dave Conley: the then got wildly
insulted, but man, what a politician.
:
00:52:50,069 --> 00:52:55,199
She was like, all happy and, and, and
really just the, the, the tongue bath
:
00:52:55,199 --> 00:52:59,189
that every international leader has
to like, give, give the administration
:
00:52:59,369 --> 00:53:03,629
in order to like, keep 'em happy,
which I think is a brilliant idea.
:
00:53:03,629 --> 00:53:05,219
And also have tough conversations.
:
00:53:05,219 --> 00:53:09,359
So she was over here talking trade
and, and uh, and, and talking, uh,
:
00:53:09,419 --> 00:53:10,709
you know, international conflict.
:
00:53:11,774 --> 00:53:14,264
When you know, the president
talks about Pearl Harbor
:
00:53:16,556 --> 00:53:16,796
Jerremy Newsome: Bro.
:
00:53:16,796 --> 00:53:16,946
I
:
00:53:17,204 --> 00:53:19,214
Dave Conley: and she laughed it off.
:
00:53:19,244 --> 00:53:20,774
I'm like, brilliant.
:
00:53:21,026 --> 00:53:23,066
Jerremy Newsome: I thought I
thought that was, AI for like.
:
00:53:23,396 --> 00:53:25,826
I was like, is this, this
has to be a deep fake video.
:
00:53:26,216 --> 00:53:27,386
This has to be.
:
00:53:28,286 --> 00:53:29,876
I pull it up on a few different sources.
:
00:53:29,876 --> 00:53:32,066
I'm like, oh my God, I
think this is actually real.
:
00:53:32,834 --> 00:53:34,964
Dave Conley: It's like, could you
give us a heads up if you nuke
:
00:53:34,964 --> 00:53:38,534
something again, you know, like, ugh.
:
00:53:39,806 --> 00:53:40,976
Jerremy Newsome: oh my gosh.
:
00:53:41,276 --> 00:53:42,176
Oh my gosh.
:
00:53:42,206 --> 00:53:43,226
This Trump dude.
:
00:53:43,406 --> 00:53:44,426
What a character.
:
00:53:45,029 --> 00:53:47,009
Dave Conley: He if, if
it wasn't so serious.
:
00:53:47,009 --> 00:53:48,869
He is a funny, funny guy.
:
00:53:49,676 --> 00:53:50,066
Jerremy Newsome: yeah.
:
00:53:50,516 --> 00:53:50,936
Yeah.
:
00:53:51,416 --> 00:53:54,446
Well, um, I, I, I will say this, man.
:
00:53:55,349 --> 00:53:55,799
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:53:55,946 --> 00:53:59,726
Jerremy Newsome: you spent a lot of
time in Japan, and you are, and were
:
00:53:59,726 --> 00:54:03,536
a big fan, and I am now a huge fan.
:
00:54:03,596 --> 00:54:06,026
What a country.
:
00:54:06,464 --> 00:54:06,814
Dave Conley: Right.
:
00:54:07,376 --> 00:54:08,426
Jerremy Newsome: So cool.
:
00:54:09,059 --> 00:54:10,589
Dave Conley: They got
it going on, don't they?
:
00:54:10,671 --> 00:54:11,091
Jerremy Newsome: Mm-hmm.
:
00:54:12,119 --> 00:54:14,399
Dave Conley: I said, I've always said
that they're like five years in the
:
00:54:14,399 --> 00:54:16,199
future and you don't even know it.
:
00:54:16,199 --> 00:54:17,609
It's like driving a Tesla, you know?
:
00:54:17,609 --> 00:54:20,039
It's like it's in the future and
you're, you get it right now.
:
00:54:20,099 --> 00:54:20,279
What?
:
00:54:20,309 --> 00:54:21,509
What, what was your experience?
:
00:54:22,811 --> 00:54:23,831
Jerremy Newsome: Oh my gosh.
:
00:54:24,821 --> 00:54:25,601
Oh my gosh.
:
00:54:25,661 --> 00:54:30,851
So I'm trying to really
distill down how they're doing.
:
00:54:30,851 --> 00:54:32,111
So much so correct.
:
00:54:32,141 --> 00:54:39,431
Because a lot of it feels like a top down
ideology potentially, or some type of.
:
00:54:40,826 --> 00:54:45,896
General culture of how they're
winning in such an a formidable way.
:
00:54:46,544 --> 00:54:46,874
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:54:47,486 --> 00:54:49,346
Jerremy Newsome: I was in the
third largest city in the world
:
00:54:50,156 --> 00:54:51,506
for like four or five days.
:
00:54:51,506 --> 00:54:55,976
Tokyo, um, with approximately, you
know, it depends on how you measure
:
00:54:55,976 --> 00:55:01,286
it, but around 40 million people,
I didn't see one homeless person
:
00:55:02,024 --> 00:55:02,414
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:55:04,051 --> 00:55:05,791
Jerremy Newsome: Not
one nowhere to be found.
:
00:55:06,764 --> 00:55:07,214
Dave Conley: Mm-hmm.
:
00:55:09,101 --> 00:55:09,401
Jerremy Newsome: What?
:
00:55:10,151 --> 00:55:10,601
Right.
:
00:55:10,661 --> 00:55:11,111
Okay.
:
00:55:11,171 --> 00:55:14,021
So, and I drove all around Tokyo.
:
00:55:14,021 --> 00:55:14,291
I mean,
:
00:55:14,594 --> 00:55:14,924
Dave Conley: right.
:
00:55:15,011 --> 00:55:17,471
Jerremy Newsome: I wasn't like staying
in a super, mean, I was staying in
:
00:55:17,471 --> 00:55:19,001
a nice hotel, but I wasn't in there.
:
00:55:19,001 --> 00:55:20,981
The only, you know, I, I left, I walked
:
00:55:21,134 --> 00:55:21,584
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:55:21,641 --> 00:55:23,561
Jerremy Newsome: lot,
uh, drove around a lot.
:
00:55:24,281 --> 00:55:25,421
Not a single homeless person.
:
00:55:26,204 --> 00:55:26,624
Dave Conley: Wow.
:
00:55:26,651 --> 00:55:30,041
Jerremy Newsome: two I could,
I could have eaten off of them.
:
00:55:30,911 --> 00:55:31,991
They were so clean.
:
00:55:32,981 --> 00:55:33,521
No
:
00:55:33,554 --> 00:55:34,484
Dave Conley: That's what I told you.
:
00:55:34,724 --> 00:55:37,394
I told you that right before
I was like, oh, guess what?
:
00:55:37,724 --> 00:55:39,974
No, no trash cans.
:
00:55:40,004 --> 00:55:40,304
You know,
:
00:55:41,541 --> 00:55:41,711
Jerremy Newsome: Still
:
00:55:42,014 --> 00:55:44,234
Dave Conley: like everybody's like,
you know, take your stuff with you
:
00:55:45,371 --> 00:55:45,941
Jerremy Newsome: oh man.
:
00:55:46,544 --> 00:55:47,054
Dave Conley: crazy.
:
00:55:47,054 --> 00:55:47,384
Right,
:
00:55:48,011 --> 00:55:52,841
Jerremy Newsome: I mean, just,
just absolutely immaculate.
:
00:55:53,321 --> 00:55:53,531
I mean,
:
00:55:53,534 --> 00:55:53,834
Dave Conley: right.
:
00:55:54,101 --> 00:55:58,031
Jerremy Newsome: 'cause that size
of city, like I've mentioned a
:
00:55:58,031 --> 00:56:01,121
few times in the podcast, right?
:
00:56:01,121 --> 00:56:04,451
I live in Las Vegas and it
looks like someone purposely.
:
00:56:05,486 --> 00:56:09,896
Is littering Las Vegas, like someone
drives around with a truck and just gets
:
00:56:09,896 --> 00:56:11,486
paid to throw things out the window.
:
00:56:11,756 --> 00:56:14,186
Um, that's what most of
Las Vegas looks like.
:
00:56:16,286 --> 00:56:18,656
we, we have a, we barely
have 3 million people.
:
00:56:19,796 --> 00:56:21,926
And all around Las Vegas,
homeless people everywhere.
:
00:56:23,336 --> 00:56:26,996
good grief, Tokyo just
absolutely smashed it.
:
00:56:27,026 --> 00:56:29,546
And I went to other cities as
well, so it wasn't just Tokyo.
:
00:56:29,546 --> 00:56:33,776
I mean I visited five or six other
major large cities, same thing.
:
00:56:33,926 --> 00:56:37,826
Uh, clean streets, the people
are very nice everywhere.
:
00:56:38,216 --> 00:56:43,976
Uh, no homeless and the big one,
Dave, that I'm still trying to
:
00:56:43,976 --> 00:56:47,816
wrap my head around and I'm being
as literal as I possibly can here.
:
00:56:48,386 --> 00:56:54,566
I saw less than five overweight
individuals, less than five.
:
00:56:56,126 --> 00:56:57,356
Uh, and
:
00:56:59,726 --> 00:57:03,086
I mean maybe 10 a dozen
pudgy, pudgy people.
:
00:57:03,176 --> 00:57:03,626
Like, ah, you
:
00:57:03,684 --> 00:57:03,974
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:57:04,406 --> 00:57:06,566
Jerremy Newsome: we've all been a little
pudgy in our lives at some point, right?
:
00:57:06,566 --> 00:57:09,416
Like me and you both have, it's like,
okay, we ate a little bit too many
:
00:57:09,416 --> 00:57:12,026
cookies, maybe had too much beer.
:
00:57:12,446 --> 00:57:15,596
Um, less than 12, I mean.
:
00:57:17,711 --> 00:57:19,991
I saw millions of people a day
:
00:57:20,699 --> 00:57:21,119
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:57:21,131 --> 00:57:23,531
Jerremy Newsome: all visibly healthy.
:
00:57:25,001 --> 00:57:26,291
I say visibly, you know,
:
00:57:26,459 --> 00:57:26,759
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:57:26,801 --> 00:57:28,241
Jerremy Newsome: always be
things under the hood, but
:
00:57:30,881 --> 00:57:31,451
what, what?
:
00:57:32,321 --> 00:57:33,641
Uh, no, homeless.
:
00:57:33,731 --> 00:57:34,841
Everyone's nice.
:
00:57:34,991 --> 00:57:35,676
Everything is clean.
:
00:57:36,761 --> 00:57:38,051
healthy, and it's the
:
00:57:38,189 --> 00:57:38,549
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:57:38,681 --> 00:57:39,431
Jerremy Newsome: city in the world.
:
00:57:39,431 --> 00:57:40,241
I'm blown away.
:
00:57:40,361 --> 00:57:44,201
I'm actually truly trying to figure
out how they're pulling this off.
:
00:57:44,381 --> 00:57:45,251
The cost of food.
:
00:57:46,736 --> 00:57:50,036
The cheapest I've ever experienced
in any developed nation.
:
00:57:50,594 --> 00:57:51,254
Dave Conley: No kidding.
:
00:57:51,656 --> 00:57:52,676
Jerremy Newsome: Oh my gosh, dude.
:
00:57:52,694 --> 00:57:55,574
Dave Conley: And it wasn't just
like the, the, the exchange rate.
:
00:57:55,574 --> 00:57:56,534
It was like everywhere.
:
00:57:57,056 --> 00:57:57,626
Jerremy Newsome: And it, yeah.
:
00:57:57,626 --> 00:58:01,496
And it, and it also wasn't like,
uh, we weren't eating terrible food.
:
00:58:01,496 --> 00:58:07,856
I mean, I went to a sushi restaurant that
was, the, the color of this ahi tuna.
:
00:58:08,306 --> 00:58:09,776
Was perfect.
:
00:58:09,836 --> 00:58:14,636
Uh, I mean, the flavor, the me
and eight people ate and drank
:
00:58:14,636 --> 00:58:17,036
like kings for three hours, three
:
00:58:17,189 --> 00:58:17,849
Dave Conley: Wow.
:
00:58:18,209 --> 00:58:18,659
Yeah.
:
00:58:19,166 --> 00:58:20,066
Jerremy Newsome: US dollars.
:
00:58:21,629 --> 00:58:22,049
Dave Conley: Oh, come on.
:
00:58:22,916 --> 00:58:23,576
Jerremy Newsome: I'm serious.
:
00:58:23,906 --> 00:58:24,326
I'm serious.
:
00:58:24,326 --> 00:58:25,856
I like, this is a, this
is a, they're, they're
:
00:58:26,159 --> 00:58:27,179
Dave Conley: Wow.
:
00:58:27,506 --> 00:58:28,586
Jerremy Newsome: they
didn't measure something.
:
00:58:28,586 --> 00:58:28,946
Correct.
:
00:58:29,006 --> 00:58:32,816
This was a, one of the, one of the sushi
buffet, places like the conveyor belts.
:
00:58:33,269 --> 00:58:33,809
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
00:58:34,316 --> 00:58:34,976
Jerremy Newsome: was incredible, man.
:
00:58:35,036 --> 00:58:38,456
I'm, I mean, I'm blown away and I mean,
that happened over and over and over.
:
00:58:38,756 --> 00:58:43,136
I, I went to a Kobe beef restaurant
that I ate, uh, some of the steak
:
00:58:43,136 --> 00:58:47,726
there, and I actually cried a tear,
like water precipitation came outta
:
00:58:47,726 --> 00:58:50,216
my face as I was eating this food.
:
00:58:50,366 --> 00:58:52,736
Uh, it, it was incredible.
:
00:58:53,036 --> 00:58:53,456
I just had the
:
00:58:53,489 --> 00:58:54,179
Dave Conley: Amazing.
:
00:58:54,416 --> 00:58:57,356
Jerremy Newsome: Um, such an
awesome country, amazing city,
:
00:58:57,356 --> 00:58:58,946
amazing people out of last.
:
00:59:02,399 --> 00:59:02,759
Dave Conley: Wow.
:
00:59:02,849 --> 00:59:03,509
Uh, so.
:
00:59:04,754 --> 00:59:05,954
Did you get underneath that?
:
00:59:06,014 --> 00:59:09,674
I mean, like, was it like where,
where, where is that right?
:
00:59:09,674 --> 00:59:13,124
Like I, you know, I, you know, I did,
I, I did some of my international
:
00:59:13,124 --> 00:59:15,074
residency for my, my master's there.
:
00:59:15,074 --> 00:59:16,574
That was a long time ago.
:
00:59:16,994 --> 00:59:19,304
Not a long, because I'm old now.
:
00:59:19,631 --> 00:59:20,291
Jerremy Newsome: it was a very long
:
00:59:20,504 --> 00:59:22,034
Dave Conley: I, I walked right into that.
:
00:59:22,034 --> 00:59:24,644
No, very, very long time ago.
:
00:59:24,644 --> 00:59:27,644
Back in the early 20 teens.
:
00:59:28,154 --> 00:59:28,484
Uh.
:
00:59:29,814 --> 00:59:36,294
Uh, you know, it, it felt like so
many things were just sort of, uh, uh,
:
00:59:36,324 --> 00:59:43,344
culturally, uh, just like built in, but
also a, not only demand of the culture,
:
00:59:43,344 --> 00:59:45,954
but just like the, the practice of people.
:
00:59:45,954 --> 00:59:48,654
Like, it was like people
were not putting up with.
:
00:59:49,319 --> 00:59:52,559
Litter or people, you know,
poor performance or saying,
:
00:59:52,589 --> 00:59:54,809
you know, like, it is like, no,
we're not gonna have homeless.
:
00:59:54,809 --> 00:59:56,099
Like, that's barbaric, right?
:
00:59:56,099 --> 00:59:59,264
Like there's a, there's
an empathy and a a, um.
:
01:00:00,959 --> 01:00:05,009
Uh, upleveling a, a, you
know, like a demand of like,
:
01:00:05,039 --> 01:00:06,749
you know, be your best self.
:
01:00:06,749 --> 01:00:09,569
And that's, you know, that's a
part of the fabric of our society.
:
01:00:09,869 --> 01:00:12,089
So like that's a, that's,
that's something else.
:
01:00:12,089 --> 01:00:14,969
But there's also, uh, you
know, there's, there's.
:
01:00:15,709 --> 01:00:19,609
There was also not a lot of diversity, you
know, like there was a lot of Japanese,
:
01:00:19,639 --> 01:00:25,399
uh, you know, like, like Japanese and,
and so like, you do not have a lot of
:
01:00:25,399 --> 01:00:28,939
people from all over the planet and having
this big giant mixing bowl, and it's,
:
01:00:28,939 --> 01:00:30,589
and it's a relatively small country.
:
01:00:30,589 --> 01:00:33,919
So like, there was a, there was,
I mean, I noticed that as well.
:
01:00:33,919 --> 01:00:37,279
I don't, I don't know where, like
underneath all of this, what, what is it?
:
01:00:37,279 --> 01:00:38,239
What can we learn?
:
01:00:38,269 --> 01:00:39,859
What can we learn from the Japanese?
:
01:00:41,176 --> 01:00:43,511
Jerremy Newsome: Uh, it, I think
you said the word cultural,
:
01:00:43,571 --> 01:00:45,251
like it's, it's some level of.
:
01:00:46,616 --> 01:00:54,926
Just of integrity maybe or some
level of is who we are at our core.
:
01:00:55,469 --> 01:00:55,759
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
01:00:56,966 --> 01:00:59,636
Jerremy Newsome: I mean, when's the last
president I, I, I would like to know,
:
01:00:59,936 --> 01:01:02,876
I'm sure we can search it, but the last
president was like, this country's dirty.
:
01:01:02,876 --> 01:01:03,746
Let's clean it up.
:
01:01:04,856 --> 01:01:08,426
I mean, it is like America's dirty.
:
01:01:08,989 --> 01:01:09,339
Dave Conley: Right.
:
01:01:09,416 --> 01:01:09,806
Jerremy Newsome: dirty now.
:
01:01:09,806 --> 01:01:10,736
Granted, it's huge.
:
01:01:10,766 --> 01:01:11,156
I get it.
:
01:01:11,156 --> 01:01:12,611
There's a lot of America to clean up.
:
01:01:13,421 --> 01:01:16,391
good grief, we're talking to any
city, every city, all of them.
:
01:01:17,261 --> 01:01:18,371
most roads,
:
01:01:19,119 --> 01:01:19,409
Dave Conley: Right.
:
01:01:19,961 --> 01:01:20,741
Jerremy Newsome: they're just filthy.
:
01:01:20,741 --> 01:01:21,461
There's trash everywhere.
:
01:01:21,461 --> 01:01:22,961
There's literally, literally everywhere.
:
01:01:23,609 --> 01:01:23,759
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
01:01:23,764 --> 01:01:23,984
It's gross.
:
01:01:24,251 --> 01:01:25,601
Jerremy Newsome: and yeah, it's gross.
:
01:01:25,601 --> 01:01:26,081
I mean,
:
01:01:28,091 --> 01:01:35,261
I don't know, like just having some level
of appreciation for where we're at seems.
:
01:01:36,416 --> 01:01:40,856
Uh, just miserably underwhelming, right?
:
01:01:40,856 --> 01:01:42,566
Like it's just not really there.
:
01:01:42,986 --> 01:01:46,406
And again, many people might go,
well, America's so much larger.
:
01:01:46,436 --> 01:01:47,846
It's like physically landmass.
:
01:01:47,846 --> 01:01:52,136
Yes, of course, but know, Japan's
only half the size of America.
:
01:01:52,196 --> 01:01:53,966
150 ish million people Total.
:
01:01:55,286 --> 01:01:55,976
It's not small.
:
01:01:56,786 --> 01:01:59,906
Um, again, granted most of 'em live
in one, you know, a couple places,
:
01:01:59,906 --> 01:02:05,246
but geez, like those cities were and
clean and, and it was just really,
:
01:02:05,246 --> 01:02:09,116
really mind blowing how well they
were run and operated and how much,
:
01:02:09,176 --> 01:02:11,066
uh, the hygiene was taken care of.
:
01:02:11,066 --> 01:02:15,206
And every single public bathroom,
unless, unless you were in like a
:
01:02:15,206 --> 01:02:21,236
Buddhist shrine, kind of in the middle
of nowhere, almost every bathroom had.
:
01:02:22,496 --> 01:02:24,476
You know, a $2,000 toilet,
:
01:02:25,288 --> 01:02:25,949
Dave Conley: Oh yeah.
:
01:02:25,949 --> 01:02:28,409
Toto Totos the jam.
:
01:02:29,246 --> 01:02:29,696
Jerremy Newsome: yeah.
:
01:02:29,966 --> 01:02:31,436
Heated seats and all
:
01:02:31,589 --> 01:02:31,979
Dave Conley: Oh.
:
01:02:32,756 --> 01:02:33,026
Jerremy Newsome: Um.
:
01:02:34,526 --> 01:02:35,966
So that was, that was quite interesting.
:
01:02:35,966 --> 01:02:38,996
May I, I really feel like it's
some level of a top down approach.
:
01:02:39,236 --> 01:02:39,806
I did, I
:
01:02:39,924 --> 01:02:40,004
Dave Conley: Hmm.
:
01:02:40,046 --> 01:02:44,246
Jerremy Newsome: ask many of the, you
know, uh, citizens and people that
:
01:02:44,251 --> 01:02:48,896
I was interacting with that spoke
good enough English for me to have
:
01:02:48,896 --> 01:02:50,516
that conversation, like in depth.
:
01:02:50,876 --> 01:02:52,106
And the one that I got.
:
01:02:52,396 --> 01:02:57,076
Really was that Japanese men and
women are too proud to be homeless.
:
01:02:57,196 --> 01:02:58,636
That's what I heard from them.
:
01:02:58,636 --> 01:03:00,196
Like, they're like, we're,
we're just too proud.
:
01:03:00,196 --> 01:03:01,756
We're not going to accept it.
:
01:03:02,206 --> 01:03:03,946
It's just not part of society.
:
01:03:03,946 --> 01:03:05,836
We just don't believe
that that should happen.
:
01:03:06,316 --> 01:03:08,296
Like that's just a
fascinating belief system.
:
01:03:09,316 --> 01:03:10,576
Again, where'd you get that from?
:
01:03:10,576 --> 01:03:13,996
Like what is it a cultural thing, and
obviously there's some degree of it that
:
01:03:13,996 --> 01:03:19,006
it is, but it's also been passed down
and it's been carried for more than.
:
01:03:20,066 --> 01:03:24,626
A few decades, obviously, and it's
just really remarkable to me how they
:
01:03:24,626 --> 01:03:31,556
have kept such a level of integris,
uh, and integrity in their day-to-day
:
01:03:31,556 --> 01:03:35,006
activities and their faith and
their beliefs and their operations
:
01:03:35,006 --> 01:03:35,846
in the way they see the world.
:
01:03:35,846 --> 01:03:37,136
It's really, really fascinating.
:
01:03:37,799 --> 01:03:38,729
Dave Conley: God, I love that.
:
01:03:38,879 --> 01:03:39,359
Uh.
:
01:03:40,274 --> 01:03:43,064
You know, so many of the problems that
we've approached in the last, uh, you
:
01:03:43,064 --> 01:03:47,024
know, like year and a half, um, you
know, like we, we get some running themes
:
01:03:47,054 --> 01:03:50,174
and, you know, one of the running themes
is like, where does all the money go?
:
01:03:51,163 --> 01:03:54,794
That's, we just pour money in into things.
:
01:03:55,874 --> 01:04:00,674
And the other one is, is, is the
tremendous power of, of community.
:
01:04:00,674 --> 01:04:05,834
The tremendous power of, of parenting,
the tremendous power of, of, of friends.
:
01:04:05,834 --> 01:04:13,574
And, uh, and when, when some of
that civilization gets like a little
:
01:04:13,574 --> 01:04:17,504
bit of civilization dropping away
really has a cascading effect.
:
01:04:18,314 --> 01:04:21,913
You know, like it's, it, it shows
up in the, in the littering.
:
01:04:21,913 --> 01:04:27,614
It shows up in the, in the, the schools
that are, are failing and not having like
:
01:04:27,614 --> 01:04:32,774
a real laser-like, uh, attention to be
like, no, this is going to be amazing
:
01:04:32,804 --> 01:04:34,874
and our, our kids are gonna thrive.
:
01:04:34,904 --> 01:04:36,074
It's gonna show up in.
:
01:04:37,024 --> 01:04:40,384
People who are in prison, uh, and
there for a long time, and the
:
01:04:40,384 --> 01:04:46,264
success that comes out of prison are
those that had to do it themselves.
:
01:04:46,294 --> 01:04:50,163
And like, man, we could make so
much change with, with our prison
:
01:04:50,163 --> 01:04:53,524
system if there were actual
programs of rehabilitation.
:
01:04:53,524 --> 01:04:55,924
But at the core of that, you
know, like we talked to person
:
01:04:55,924 --> 01:04:57,004
after person after person.
:
01:04:57,413 --> 01:05:02,214
Was this strong desire of change and
the strong desire of, of excellence
:
01:05:02,214 --> 01:05:05,394
and the strong desire of like, okay,
this is going to be different now and
:
01:05:05,394 --> 01:05:07,404
I'm going to seek and have mentors.
:
01:05:07,974 --> 01:05:09,024
Um, so like.
:
01:05:10,064 --> 01:05:12,944
Those are like, that feels like a
couple of the running themes that
:
01:05:12,944 --> 01:05:17,324
we, I mean, other than, I mean, you
know, like, uh, uh, changing voting,
:
01:05:17,444 --> 01:05:20,054
you know, it's like we, we landed on
a, on a couple of themes right there.
:
01:05:20,054 --> 01:05:23,384
It's like, man, the
money in this is crazy.
:
01:05:23,894 --> 01:05:28,004
Uh, and uh, and then it was like,
well, you know, stop gerrymandering
:
01:05:28,004 --> 01:05:29,294
and it's okay to have an id.
:
01:05:29,324 --> 01:05:29,624
You know?
:
01:05:31,241 --> 01:05:31,691
Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
:
01:05:31,806 --> 01:05:32,096
Yeah.
:
01:05:32,771 --> 01:05:33,191
Right.
:
01:05:34,601 --> 01:05:35,141
Agreed.
:
01:05:35,744 --> 01:05:36,704
Dave Conley: Hmm.
:
01:05:37,001 --> 01:05:40,181
Jerremy Newsome: Really some really,
really cool, just beautiful realizations.
:
01:05:40,181 --> 01:05:44,831
And, uh, what's, what's going on right
now with this Iran situation, man?
:
01:05:44,861 --> 01:05:48,041
How is this impacting your political
sphere and what you see out there?
:
01:05:49,679 --> 01:05:52,349
Dave Conley: I went back and looked
at some of my notes, uh, three weeks
:
01:05:52,349 --> 01:05:54,419
ago as this was just kicking off.
:
01:05:54,479 --> 01:05:57,569
Uh, and I was, you know,
on with, with Steven.
:
01:05:57,599 --> 01:06:01,739
And, you know, at, at that time, at
the beginning of this, it was, you
:
01:06:01,739 --> 01:06:05,279
know, like the markets weren't really
doing, you know, like, like, um.
:
01:06:06,674 --> 01:06:08,624
Oil was sort of up and down.
:
01:06:09,344 --> 01:06:13,754
Uh, it, it seemed like there
was a real break in reality,
:
01:06:14,084 --> 01:06:16,784
uh, between markets and reality.
:
01:06:17,984 --> 01:06:22,214
I mean, like mar like what was happening
politically and internationally versus
:
01:06:22,214 --> 01:06:27,884
like what was being reflected like,
there was a total risk divergence and.
:
01:06:29,309 --> 01:06:39,299
Politically, I was like, man, I don't mean
to be a dor or a panic in here, but every,
:
01:06:39,359 --> 01:06:46,559
every political person that I value has
said repeatedly like, this is a, this is
:
01:06:46,679 --> 01:06:51,659
like, you guys don't know what's, what's
what, how this, how badly this can go.
:
01:06:52,288 --> 01:06:57,479
Uh, and it's more likely than not
because the United States and Israel.
:
01:06:57,944 --> 01:06:59,804
Are not in control here.
:
01:07:00,044 --> 01:07:05,294
Uh, it is not like anything that
we have seen and fundamentally,
:
01:07:06,014 --> 01:07:11,924
uh, the United States and
Israel were, uh, fighting a war.
:
01:07:12,074 --> 01:07:15,194
Not only a war of choice,
but a war of violence.
:
01:07:15,824 --> 01:07:21,224
And the Iranians could never
fight a war of violence.
:
01:07:21,254 --> 01:07:23,744
They are fighting a war of.
:
01:07:24,989 --> 01:07:28,679
Economics, uh, they have to, they
can't go head to head with Israel and
:
01:07:28,679 --> 01:07:29,788
head to head to the United States.
:
01:07:29,788 --> 01:07:31,139
That's crazy talk.
:
01:07:31,679 --> 01:07:37,469
So having an economic impact is where
you actually can make a difference,
:
01:07:37,469 --> 01:07:43,169
because fundamentally, uh, it is
an existential problem for Iran.
:
01:07:43,169 --> 01:07:46,979
You know, existentially, they're
like, we, we want safety.
:
01:07:47,744 --> 01:07:54,494
Uh, and, uh, we want economic freedom
and we don't want to be bombed.
:
01:07:54,614 --> 01:07:56,444
And, you know, like on and on and on.
:
01:07:56,444 --> 01:07:59,384
It's like the normal stuff, you
know, regardless of what you
:
01:07:59,384 --> 01:08:02,894
think of, you know, the Iranian
world and, and how they're run.
:
01:08:03,344 --> 01:08:05,384
You know, like I, I,
you know, from my, my.
:
01:08:06,599 --> 01:08:11,788
My partner who actually is over in that
part of the world and talks about, it's
:
01:08:11,788 --> 01:08:15,479
like, look, it's a very conservative
country, but I think the Americans
:
01:08:15,479 --> 01:08:20,129
have a very, very, like, not a very
good view as to what's actually there.
:
01:08:20,189 --> 01:08:24,029
Uh, yeah, it's conservative and yeah, they
don't have a great government and, uh,
:
01:08:24,059 --> 01:08:25,618
people complain about their government.
:
01:08:25,624 --> 01:08:27,538
But yeah, of course you see
it like they don't work.
:
01:08:27,624 --> 01:08:28,344
Burkas.
:
01:08:28,344 --> 01:08:29,514
Like, that's dumb.
:
01:08:29,604 --> 01:08:32,934
You know, like they, that's, that's
not even part of their religion.
:
01:08:32,934 --> 01:08:35,424
That's, that's on the, on the
Sunni side, not the Shia side.
:
01:08:35,844 --> 01:08:40,254
Uh, and you know, like, and they're very
educated and, and like, they have a stock
:
01:08:40,254 --> 01:08:41,934
market, you know, like, come on guys.
:
01:08:41,993 --> 01:08:46,974
You know, like it's a big as country,
uh, that, uh, that people complain about
:
01:08:46,974 --> 01:08:51,413
their, their government and, and then
she said, kind of like you, and I'm like.
:
01:08:52,934 --> 01:08:55,274
I'm like, oh yeah, you,
you, you got me there.
:
01:08:55,634 --> 01:09:01,094
Um, and then it's a very big
existential, uh, issue for Israel.
:
01:09:01,154 --> 01:09:05,684
You know, like they want everybody around
them to be broken so that they feel safe.
:
01:09:05,714 --> 01:09:10,514
And so I, I get it on both those sides and
here we have the United States, uh, being
:
01:09:10,514 --> 01:09:12,314
like, okay, you know, like we're in this.
:
01:09:12,759 --> 01:09:19,059
And so like, we have three people in this,
and the person who I, not the person, the,
:
01:09:19,059 --> 01:09:23,859
the group that is deciding the escalation
factor of this and the escalation ladder
:
01:09:23,859 --> 01:09:29,259
on this and whether this is going to
end or not, is Iran, you know, like, it,
:
01:09:29,259 --> 01:09:32,919
it is not it, like Israel is, it can't
stand up and say, okay, we're done.
:
01:09:33,368 --> 01:09:36,639
Um, United States can't, you know,
Trump can't come out and say,
:
01:09:36,639 --> 01:09:41,559
okay, we're done because, uh,
Iran will always be like, okay.
:
01:09:42,089 --> 01:09:44,129
Look, you've, you've screwed us twice.
:
01:09:44,189 --> 01:09:46,439
Like you bombed the crap of us last year.
:
01:09:46,499 --> 01:09:50,729
You know, like we came and we talked
to you twice now, and each time you
:
01:09:50,729 --> 01:09:55,619
either killed our people or like you're
not a, you're like, we can't talk
:
01:09:55,619 --> 01:09:56,729
to you because we can't trust you.
:
01:09:57,034 --> 01:09:58,144
And I'm like, ah.
:
01:09:58,534 --> 01:10:03,334
As soon as you start putting yourself in
at least a little bit of, of the shoes,
:
01:10:03,394 --> 01:10:07,114
of whoever it is, you're quote unquote
fighting, you're like, of course they're
:
01:10:07,114 --> 01:10:12,184
going to like, like strangle the United
States and strangle the world, uh,
:
01:10:12,214 --> 01:10:14,854
economically, and they are succeeding.
:
01:10:15,454 --> 01:10:21,124
Uh, they are going to do that, uh, you
know, until they get what they want.
:
01:10:21,304 --> 01:10:24,693
And, uh, I don't see that real risk.
:
01:10:25,604 --> 01:10:27,974
In the market, and that's what
I want to know from you because
:
01:10:27,974 --> 01:10:29,564
it wasn't there three weeks ago.
:
01:10:29,864 --> 01:10:32,714
And I've, I've checked Trading View
a couple of times and I'm like, well,
:
01:10:33,224 --> 01:10:37,304
okay, the 10 year note's going up,
I don't even know what that means.
:
01:10:37,364 --> 01:10:42,284
Um, oil is hovering in areas
like a hundred bucks, but
:
01:10:44,624 --> 01:10:51,464
every supply shock that we have ever
had has resulted in a recession.
:
01:10:52,214 --> 01:10:52,934
Every single one.
:
01:10:53,924 --> 01:11:00,943
Um, and I'm not hearing, I'm not hearing
hearing, you know, anybody say, okay,
:
01:11:00,943 --> 01:11:05,324
what's the wind beneath the wing winds
of the, like, how is this time different?
:
01:11:06,494 --> 01:11:07,754
Like, it's, it's not there.
:
01:11:08,384 --> 01:11:11,474
And I'm like, okay, well
convince me that it's different.
:
01:11:11,474 --> 01:11:15,104
So like, I mean, what, what's
going on on the money side of this?
:
01:11:15,104 --> 01:11:16,124
Because it's.
:
01:11:17,579 --> 01:11:20,549
There's already a problem with the
reality on the political side and
:
01:11:20,549 --> 01:11:23,549
underneath the political reality
of it that's actually there.
:
01:11:23,549 --> 01:11:28,079
It's like it's bad and it's not
going to get better until Iran says.
:
01:11:30,331 --> 01:11:34,886
Jerremy Newsome: Well, from the money
perspective, I mean, it's, really like
:
01:11:34,886 --> 01:11:42,596
what you said is this has happened
before and it seems like it's the, I
:
01:11:42,596 --> 01:11:48,656
mean, it almost seems like a carbon
copy what has not only happened in
:
01:11:51,491 --> 01:11:58,541
Afghanistan, insert other, Republicans
that were in office that were doing all
:
01:11:58,541 --> 01:12:01,601
this with the weapons, mass destruction,
saying they have all these things
:
01:12:01,601 --> 01:12:02,561
and they're doing all these things.
:
01:12:02,771 --> 01:12:06,461
We're like, we can kind of study what
has happened before and when that did
:
01:12:06,461 --> 01:12:13,966
occur, I mean, the markets were very
high markets are quite high again.
:
01:12:15,176 --> 01:12:18,146
So there is definitely some
reasoning and some rationale that we
:
01:12:18,146 --> 01:12:24,446
actually do and can have, at least
a pullback in the general markets.
:
01:12:24,806 --> 01:12:26,366
Uh, I would, I would like to see that.
:
01:12:26,366 --> 01:12:28,706
And the truth is we kind
of are and kind of did.
:
01:12:29,036 --> 01:12:30,506
So the s and p, uh.
:
01:12:31,256 --> 01:12:37,436
We went up to almost,
almost 7,000, 7,000, sorry.
:
01:12:37,436 --> 01:12:42,716
7,002 was the high back in January,
so we made a new all time high.
:
01:12:42,716 --> 01:12:45,506
And then we have pulled back
about 7% since then in the
:
01:12:45,506 --> 01:12:46,436
last two or three months.
:
01:12:47,156 --> 01:12:51,746
we have had that quote unquote
pullback, just generally speaking.
:
01:12:51,746 --> 01:12:56,096
But the, from the general
macro perspective, it seems
:
01:12:56,096 --> 01:12:59,606
like to me that we do need.
:
01:13:00,491 --> 01:13:06,101
little bit more of, I, wouldn't call it
a recession, but we definitely do need
:
01:13:06,101 --> 01:13:10,571
a little bit more of a, uh, of a resting
period in the general broader markets.
:
01:13:10,571 --> 01:13:13,901
Let this really digest, let this calm
down, let people kind of just see and feel
:
01:13:13,901 --> 01:13:18,851
and know and understand what's happening,
um, before we do end up going higher.
:
01:13:18,911 --> 01:13:21,431
And I think that we can, 'cause
there's still a lot of money.
:
01:13:22,301 --> 01:13:25,301
A lot of money on the sidelines,
a lot of people kind of waiting
:
01:13:25,301 --> 01:13:26,861
it out to see what's gonna happen.
:
01:13:26,861 --> 01:13:28,781
And there's always
something with Trump, right?
:
01:13:28,781 --> 01:13:30,701
There's always like a, oh,
it's an interest rate thing.
:
01:13:30,701 --> 01:13:31,961
It's gonna be a Fed thing.
:
01:13:31,961 --> 01:13:32,861
It's gonna be a war thing.
:
01:13:32,861 --> 01:13:34,421
Let's see how this
Venezuela thing happens.
:
01:13:34,421 --> 01:13:36,311
Let's see how this first year goes.
:
01:13:37,121 --> 01:13:40,901
There's a lot of people that are on
the sidelines and fortunately slash
:
01:13:40,901 --> 01:13:43,991
unfortunately, when the markets go
a little bit higher, that's when
:
01:13:43,991 --> 01:13:45,221
people are gonna start piling in.
:
01:13:45,641 --> 01:13:48,701
And uh, they don't want
to buy it when it's down.
:
01:13:48,701 --> 01:13:50,021
'cause they're always
gonna have that fear.
:
01:13:51,521 --> 01:13:54,851
But I do think, and I kind of
get the sense that we, we can and
:
01:13:54,851 --> 01:13:58,541
should have actually a little bit
lower of a, of pullback before,
:
01:14:00,851 --> 01:14:04,361
before things get a little bit better,
just from a financial standpoint.
:
01:14:04,361 --> 01:14:08,231
But the, the real cause and the
real issue that a lot of people are
:
01:14:08,231 --> 01:14:09,641
feeling is gonna be the inflation.
:
01:14:09,761 --> 01:14:14,291
I mean, higher oil prices,
higher gas prices, everything
:
01:14:14,291 --> 01:14:15,281
is gonna be more expensive.
:
01:14:15,341 --> 01:14:18,011
And that, that happened
immediately, overnight.
:
01:14:18,041 --> 01:14:19,001
I mean, in Vegas.
:
01:14:19,421 --> 01:14:23,441
The prices of gas doubled in a week.
:
01:14:23,891 --> 01:14:29,021
So that is a very, very real felt
pinch, um, here in the US and I think
:
01:14:29,021 --> 01:14:32,831
that that is gonna have a trickle down
effect in the not too distant future.
:
01:14:35,501 --> 01:14:36,251
markets go.
:
01:14:37,271 --> 01:14:40,811
Down a little bit in the next of weeks.
:
01:14:40,931 --> 01:14:44,441
Um, and then that's probably gonna
create some level of a bottoming effect.
:
01:14:44,831 --> 01:14:49,331
And then as we start to go higher, the
new money that's still out there on the
:
01:14:49,511 --> 01:14:51,401
sidelines does begin to kind of pile in.
:
01:14:51,401 --> 01:14:54,881
'cause there is still a lot, there's
a lot of money out there waiting and
:
01:14:54,881 --> 01:14:56,411
figuring out where to actually place it.
:
01:14:57,089 --> 01:14:58,619
Dave Conley: So let's, okay.
:
01:14:58,949 --> 01:15:00,089
I hear you right.
:
01:15:01,769 --> 01:15:02,969
Uh hmm.
:
01:15:03,209 --> 01:15:05,009
I'm still looking for the good news here.
:
01:15:05,129 --> 01:15:09,899
So yeah, there's a lot of money on the
sides and I, at least, at least because
:
01:15:09,899 --> 01:15:12,089
you, you taught me well on like, well.
:
01:15:14,804 --> 01:15:17,804
The markets have a lot of
quote unquote feelings, right?
:
01:15:17,804 --> 01:15:21,314
Like there's a lot of, you know,
like that drives a lot of stuff.
:
01:15:21,314 --> 01:15:24,104
And then you put algorithms behind
it with these, you know, crazy
:
01:15:24,104 --> 01:15:27,434
computers and like you're, it,
it just magnifies your feelings.
:
01:15:28,064 --> 01:15:34,964
Um, and there is a facts, like
there are real facts behind this.
:
01:15:35,024 --> 01:15:38,084
And you said one of them, which
is key, which is inflation.
:
01:15:38,924 --> 01:15:39,494
Um.
:
01:15:42,089 --> 01:15:44,129
Gas is up 25% in the United States.
:
01:15:44,189 --> 01:15:49,109
And, uh, diesel, I mean, every, everything
that moves, I mean, diesel's up over
:
01:15:49,109 --> 01:15:51,809
almost 40% just in the United States.
:
01:15:52,589 --> 01:15:56,789
Uh, you know, like, so that's
anything that moves, you know,
:
01:15:57,446 --> 01:15:57,666
Jerremy Newsome: Mm.
:
01:15:58,769 --> 01:16:02,309
Dave Conley: uh, air, uh, you know,
like, uh, air fuel, I don't know.
:
01:16:02,309 --> 01:16:03,119
What, what do you call it?
:
01:16:03,119 --> 01:16:07,079
Air jet, jet fuel, you know, like
that's going through the roof, I guess.
:
01:16:09,059 --> 01:16:12,449
In the United States, we're
gonna feel it the least because
:
01:16:12,449 --> 01:16:14,339
we are the richest, right?
:
01:16:14,999 --> 01:16:21,419
Um, like the us So like a, like a
lot of the fertilizer that's like
:
01:16:21,419 --> 01:16:24,479
bound up in all of this, the United
States bought has, you know, like,
:
01:16:24,479 --> 01:16:27,419
because we're in growing season, the
United States has bought a lot of it.
:
01:16:28,139 --> 01:16:33,689
Um, so we're gonna have the
lowest high gas in diesel prizes,
:
01:16:33,689 --> 01:16:35,399
but the rest of the world.
:
01:16:35,804 --> 01:16:38,234
Is, is is not good.
:
01:16:38,624 --> 01:16:41,324
And we are an interconnected world, right?
:
01:16:41,324 --> 01:16:45,374
You know, like Indonesia, like
they are, they are in dire straits.
:
01:16:45,554 --> 01:16:48,164
Philippines is like,
okay, don't come to work.
:
01:16:48,224 --> 01:16:48,734
You know?
:
01:16:49,124 --> 01:16:52,154
Uh, there are lots of places in
the world where, you know, like
:
01:16:52,154 --> 01:16:54,764
a lot of manufacturing, a lot of
trade, a lot of things happen.
:
01:16:54,764 --> 01:16:58,004
I mean, Belgium is saying,
Hey, conserve fuel.
:
01:16:58,034 --> 01:17:01,934
So like this is, you know,
driving into European economies.
:
01:17:02,354 --> 01:17:06,464
And the one thing I know about
feelings and markets is, is,
:
01:17:06,523 --> 01:17:08,204
uh, markets do not like chaos.
:
01:17:09,164 --> 01:17:11,773
All we have is chaos right now.
:
01:17:12,074 --> 01:17:16,214
And a very chaotic, you know,
United States a completely, like,
:
01:17:16,214 --> 01:17:20,294
unpredictable, you know, I saw, you
know, I saw Trump, like right before
:
01:17:20,294 --> 01:17:22,273
we started, uh, you know, taping here.
:
01:17:22,784 --> 01:17:25,244
Uh, Trump was like, okay, we're
not gonna bomb your stuff.
:
01:17:25,244 --> 01:17:26,834
We're not gonna bomb your power plants.
:
01:17:26,834 --> 01:17:29,443
We're not gonna, you know,
commit a heinous war crime.
:
01:17:29,443 --> 01:17:30,523
So like, thanks.
:
01:17:30,854 --> 01:17:34,484
But, you know, then the Israelis came
up, you know, like Israelis came in and
:
01:17:34,484 --> 01:17:36,344
started bombing infrastructure, right?
:
01:17:36,344 --> 01:17:37,184
So like, it's, uh.
:
01:17:37,411 --> 01:17:37,831
Jerremy Newsome: Mm-hmm.
:
01:17:38,234 --> 01:17:40,094
Dave Conley: You know, the
Iranians are like, okay, you
:
01:17:40,094 --> 01:17:41,714
know, like game's still on.
:
01:17:42,434 --> 01:17:47,773
Um, okay, so let's, let me put it
this way, let's flip it around.
:
01:17:47,834 --> 01:17:51,914
Let's just say that that
Epic Fury operation, epic
:
01:17:51,914 --> 01:17:55,964
Fury is a, an epic success.
:
01:17:57,193 --> 01:18:02,654
Uh, you know, like it's soon and like
everybody's shaking hands and like
:
01:18:02,684 --> 01:18:07,094
there's a big, big hug in Tarran with,
with, you know, Trump and you know, the
:
01:18:07,094 --> 01:18:10,844
ayatollah, you know, like everybody's
shaking hands, bebe's like high fiving.
:
01:18:11,054 --> 01:18:11,294
You know?
:
01:18:11,294 --> 01:18:15,014
Let's say that, you know, like, let's
say that's our dream world now, right?
:
01:18:15,943 --> 01:18:21,614
What's, what's the best economic
good that can happen out of that?
:
01:18:21,644 --> 01:18:22,994
Because I, I'm.
:
01:18:23,818 --> 01:18:26,159
I'm struggling figuring that piece out.
:
01:18:26,279 --> 01:18:28,499
You know, like everybody's saying,
Hey, uh, you know, like at least on
:
01:18:28,499 --> 01:18:30,989
the Israeli and the, and the Amer,
or at least on the American side,
:
01:18:30,989 --> 01:18:32,789
it's like, Hey, don't worry about it.
:
01:18:32,879 --> 01:18:33,959
It's going to be fine.
:
01:18:34,709 --> 01:18:40,229
We've had 20% of the fuel, you know,
stopped for now three weeks, and
:
01:18:40,229 --> 01:18:41,969
that's a big kink in the fire hose.
:
01:18:42,509 --> 01:18:44,879
And when you un kink that, it's not like.
:
01:18:45,568 --> 01:18:48,719
It all goes out all at once
and like everybody's happy.
:
01:18:48,749 --> 01:18:53,699
Like there, there's like the, the market
is not gonna be able to absorb all of that
:
01:18:53,699 --> 01:18:55,529
because you have to use it for something.
:
01:18:56,009 --> 01:18:58,169
And then like a lot of it's offline.
:
01:18:58,469 --> 01:19:02,159
Uh, you know, like for maybe years
is, is what, you know, like one of the
:
01:19:02,159 --> 01:19:05,459
gccs are saying, you know, it's like,
okay, you know, like things are screwy.
:
01:19:06,209 --> 01:19:06,539
Um.
:
01:19:07,619 --> 01:19:12,059
So we're not gonna return to like
the heyday of, of three weeks ago.
:
01:19:12,059 --> 01:19:14,099
And everybody's like,
okay, everything's fine.
:
01:19:14,549 --> 01:19:15,869
But what's after this?
:
01:19:15,898 --> 01:19:17,699
Like, all I see is bad news.
:
01:19:18,659 --> 01:19:19,139
You know?
:
01:19:19,619 --> 01:19:23,009
Uh, you know, like, this doesn't
get better and it gets worse.
:
01:19:23,009 --> 01:19:25,829
And like it's an economic
war more than anything else.
:
01:19:25,829 --> 01:19:28,259
And like, you can't bomb
your way to peace on this.
:
01:19:28,259 --> 01:19:31,199
Like, you have to land a bunch
of troops in order to like, you
:
01:19:31,199 --> 01:19:33,119
know, like control the country.
:
01:19:33,604 --> 01:19:36,604
Like no Air War has ever solved anything.
:
01:19:36,634 --> 01:19:41,104
Like you have to, you know, you
have to put on troops, uh, which,
:
01:19:41,193 --> 01:19:43,924
you know, is like Americans
gonna like, be okay with that.
:
01:19:43,924 --> 01:19:46,714
I'm not, you know, like there should
be like riding in the streets.
:
01:19:46,714 --> 01:19:49,384
I got, you know, my sister here
and she's like, you know, my kids
:
01:19:49,384 --> 01:19:52,924
are gonna go, you know, straight
to like, hell no on that one.
:
01:19:53,254 --> 01:19:56,134
So like, what's the
best economic scenario?
:
01:19:57,584 --> 01:19:58,304
I haven't heard it.
:
01:19:58,364 --> 01:20:02,114
I mean, like Scott Bessant has been
the only person from the administration
:
01:20:02,114 --> 01:20:05,054
that's been out there the last two weeks,
you know, talking about these things.
:
01:20:05,054 --> 01:20:06,404
They do not have Marco Rubio.
:
01:20:06,404 --> 01:20:07,574
They do not have Hegseth.
:
01:20:07,664 --> 01:20:09,164
They do not have the vice president.
:
01:20:09,404 --> 01:20:11,144
It is the economic guys.
:
01:20:11,144 --> 01:20:12,974
It's the economic council.
:
01:20:12,974 --> 01:20:15,494
Um, what's his name?
:
01:20:15,764 --> 01:20:16,244
Hesser.
:
01:20:16,979 --> 01:20:20,789
Uh, and uh, and, and, uh,
Bassett, you know, the Treasury
:
01:20:20,789 --> 01:20:22,289
Secretary, like who cares?
:
01:20:22,349 --> 01:20:23,369
Like, I do not care.
:
01:20:23,369 --> 01:20:26,459
But that means that they're looking at
this through an economic lens, but they're
:
01:20:26,459 --> 01:20:29,099
talking about it through a violence lens.
:
01:20:29,159 --> 01:20:31,379
And I'm like, ah, so what's the best case?
:
01:20:31,499 --> 01:20:34,739
Like, what's the great case
here of like, oh, economically,
:
01:20:34,739 --> 01:20:35,879
this is gonna be awesome.
:
01:20:37,469 --> 01:20:38,039
Is there one.
:
01:20:39,011 --> 01:20:43,751
Jerremy Newsome: um, I think the
only one is a, an asset bubble in
:
01:20:43,751 --> 01:20:45,581
the markets, in the stock market.
:
01:20:45,851 --> 01:20:52,331
Um, other assets will feel pretty pinched
and pretty unsexy for a while, but with
:
01:20:53,891 --> 01:20:59,771
the asset bubble, what that would sound
like is, uh, yeah, Trump big, high
:
01:20:59,771 --> 01:21:02,021
five, big hug, big celebratory moment.
:
01:21:02,741 --> 01:21:07,751
They, they announced some, they, he
announces some special deal they've
:
01:21:07,751 --> 01:21:10,541
created where they release oil.
:
01:21:10,541 --> 01:21:15,911
They, they cheapen it and we have
back to a dollar a gallon in the us.
:
01:21:16,811 --> 01:21:20,231
Um, supply like crazy.
:
01:21:20,261 --> 01:21:21,101
We get so much.
:
01:21:21,131 --> 01:21:24,461
The prices dropped dramatically and.
:
01:21:25,196 --> 01:21:28,976
That creates, in my opinion, uh, a shift.
:
01:21:28,976 --> 01:21:32,606
But because right now we're in
an, an energy, uh, energy has
:
01:21:32,606 --> 01:21:33,746
been increasing dramatically.
:
01:21:33,746 --> 01:21:35,156
You mentioned like an economic war.
:
01:21:35,425 --> 01:21:40,586
So like the energy sector has been
going bananas for most of January,
:
01:21:40,916 --> 01:21:43,376
so January, February, March.
:
01:21:43,496 --> 01:21:49,136
I mean, energy's up energy stocks, uh,
generally are up like 35, 40, 40 5%.
:
01:21:49,856 --> 01:21:50,396
So.
:
01:21:51,175 --> 01:21:53,336
it's an energy company, it's
probably doing pretty well.
:
01:21:54,626 --> 01:21:58,856
you have energy come back
online, uh, tons of supply.
:
01:21:59,036 --> 01:22:00,686
Again, this is best
case scenario that we're
:
01:22:00,959 --> 01:22:01,259
Dave Conley: Right.
:
01:22:01,769 --> 01:22:04,529
I'm, I'm looking for it right,
like, because I'm not seeing it.
:
01:22:04,556 --> 01:22:09,326
Jerremy Newsome: so, so energy stocks go
down, um, because you have more supply
:
01:22:09,746 --> 01:22:15,296
and then the money rushes back into
the companies and the stocks and the.
:
01:22:16,361 --> 01:22:18,641
People that need the energy to go higher.
:
01:22:18,791 --> 01:22:21,971
Uh, and that creates a really, really
good resurgence in the stock market.
:
01:22:22,031 --> 01:22:24,281
And then, like I said, all the money
that's on the sidelines, they've
:
01:22:24,281 --> 01:22:25,931
been waiting for something to happen.
:
01:22:25,931 --> 01:22:28,631
So that's when they all kind of
pile in and say, all right, sweet.
:
01:22:28,661 --> 01:22:31,211
Well, war in the Middle East is over.
:
01:22:31,421 --> 01:22:36,731
Uh, that creates a Ukraine, Russia
piece treaty, Hey, we solved Iran.
:
01:22:36,776 --> 01:22:38,141
I'm Trump, I'm the greatest.
:
01:22:38,141 --> 01:22:39,491
You guys need to figure this out.
:
01:22:39,761 --> 01:22:42,971
Then, you know, Ukraine and, and
Putin become best buddies again.
:
01:22:43,300 --> 01:22:43,991
And then that.
:
01:22:44,331 --> 01:22:45,501
Precipice sends
:
01:22:45,744 --> 01:22:46,074
Dave Conley: Uh,
:
01:22:46,941 --> 01:22:47,541
Jerremy Newsome: wave
:
01:22:47,844 --> 01:22:48,174
Dave Conley: up.
:
01:22:48,504 --> 01:22:48,984
Okay?
:
01:22:49,071 --> 01:22:50,331
Jerremy Newsome: Open
opens up all kinds of
:
01:22:50,394 --> 01:22:50,964
Dave Conley: Okay.
:
01:22:51,651 --> 01:22:52,066
Jerremy Newsome: That's the
:
01:22:52,134 --> 01:22:53,214
Dave Conley: I hear you on Russia.
:
01:22:53,544 --> 01:22:53,874
Okay.
:
01:22:53,874 --> 01:22:54,834
I hear you on Russia.
:
01:22:54,834 --> 01:22:56,064
Actually, I, I was like.
:
01:22:56,714 --> 01:22:59,324
Where is the supply
actually gonna come from?
:
01:22:59,354 --> 01:23:00,614
It can't come from Venezuela.
:
01:23:00,614 --> 01:23:03,734
That's, that's, you know, I, I can't
believe I've actually learned about
:
01:23:03,734 --> 01:23:04,964
something about these commodities.
:
01:23:05,564 --> 01:23:09,734
Uh, you know, like Venezuela has
this like, like gooey mess that,
:
01:23:09,914 --> 01:23:12,974
you know, funny enough, can really
only, there's only a couple places
:
01:23:12,974 --> 01:23:14,474
on the planet that can process it.
:
01:23:14,474 --> 01:23:20,114
And one of 'em in, you know, most of it's
in, in Houston, I think, um, surprise.
:
01:23:20,564 --> 01:23:21,284
Um.
:
01:23:22,289 --> 01:23:24,568
So that's, that's very intensive stuff.
:
01:23:24,689 --> 01:23:27,479
Uh, and then where else
could it come from?
:
01:23:27,479 --> 01:23:33,299
Because there's, there's pieces of the
Gulf states that are offline and it,
:
01:23:33,299 --> 01:23:38,068
at least we don't hear what's actually
going on because they are so tightly
:
01:23:38,068 --> 01:23:40,859
controlled and what they've actually said.
:
01:23:41,864 --> 01:23:45,254
With these, I don't even know what this
word actually means, force majeure.
:
01:23:45,254 --> 01:23:46,454
I had to, I had to look it up.
:
01:23:46,454 --> 01:23:49,784
It's like, we're not, we're, we're
not paying attention to the contract
:
01:23:49,784 --> 01:23:51,284
we signed because we can't, right.
:
01:23:51,284 --> 01:23:53,804
Like, you know, active bombs, I guess.
:
01:23:54,434 --> 01:23:54,914
Um.
:
01:23:55,964 --> 01:24:01,424
Uh, like there is going to be a
reduction in the amount of fuel and
:
01:24:01,424 --> 01:24:05,864
distillates and distillates and,
and stuff, you know, for a while.
:
01:24:05,954 --> 01:24:09,884
You know, it's in some cases, years,
you know, they, you know, natural
:
01:24:09,884 --> 01:24:14,624
gases like pinch, but the supply could
come from Russia is what I'm hearing.
:
01:24:14,624 --> 01:24:15,794
I'm like, oh, all right.
:
01:24:15,854 --> 01:24:18,943
Well, yeah, because that's been
sanctioned for a long time.
:
01:24:18,943 --> 01:24:21,044
If we just turned on the engine there.
:
01:24:21,134 --> 01:24:23,023
I mean, that sounds pretty good.
:
01:24:23,059 --> 01:24:28,184
I mean, I mean, but, and Europe
has to be like, okay with that, um,
:
01:24:29,351 --> 01:24:29,681
Jerremy Newsome: Yeah.
:
01:24:29,834 --> 01:24:31,664
Dave Conley: that's not,
that's not just, you know.
:
01:24:32,414 --> 01:24:32,773
Yeah.
:
01:24:32,800 --> 01:24:34,481
Jerremy Newsome: This is still,
this, this is still best case.
:
01:24:34,481 --> 01:24:37,601
And I, I think that that's, I
think that that's the only, the
:
01:24:37,601 --> 01:24:38,771
only way we get outta this pickle.
:
01:24:38,771 --> 01:24:43,211
And then, you know, again, Trump
paints himself as the, the war hero
:
01:24:43,331 --> 01:24:48,401
and everyone, you know, it was right
around, it's right around 250 year.
:
01:24:49,331 --> 01:24:52,961
4th celebration, uh,
of this country, right?
:
01:24:52,961 --> 01:24:55,931
A bunch of money comes into the
markets and we, and we soar higher.
:
01:24:56,050 --> 01:25:00,221
And it feels like right, that's what's
happening is some, some people, some
:
01:25:00,221 --> 01:25:04,241
people are feeling like they're becoming
wealthier because there are assets
:
01:25:04,241 --> 01:25:05,711
that are increasing dramatically.
:
01:25:05,831 --> 01:25:10,451
Uh, but in reality, the underlying
cost of everything they pay for
:
01:25:10,451 --> 01:25:12,581
is also astronomically higher.
:
01:25:12,641 --> 01:25:13,001
So
:
01:25:13,094 --> 01:25:14,534
Dave Conley: Yeah, the, the inflation is,
:
01:25:14,591 --> 01:25:14,711
Jerremy Newsome: out.
:
01:25:15,734 --> 01:25:17,864
Dave Conley: inflation is sticky, right?
:
01:25:17,924 --> 01:25:20,023
I, I think that's the phrase.
:
01:25:20,023 --> 01:25:24,014
So like the inflation is already
being slammed in the economy and
:
01:25:24,014 --> 01:25:26,684
we'd have to see deflation happen.
:
01:25:27,509 --> 01:25:31,169
Uh, by cheap fuel coming in, right?
:
01:25:31,169 --> 01:25:34,169
Or is it gonna be like permanent
because it, it's gonna go into
:
01:25:34,169 --> 01:25:37,169
everything and it's gonna be in
stuff that we don't even know, right?
:
01:25:37,169 --> 01:25:43,379
Like, like, like medicine and, and
you know, like back, back in Monday.
:
01:25:43,839 --> 01:25:46,148
Um, you know, like we, we studied theory.
:
01:25:46,839 --> 01:25:50,799
We studied theory of constraints, and
it's because we lived in a global world.
:
01:25:50,889 --> 01:25:54,999
And the idea is that it, you know,
you don't keep inventory around you,
:
01:25:54,999 --> 01:25:57,099
just, you, you make it as it comes in.
:
01:25:57,189 --> 01:25:59,259
And like the supply chain is the thing.
:
01:25:59,709 --> 01:26:01,599
So now the supply chain is broken.
:
01:26:01,599 --> 01:26:02,794
Like it wasn't COVID because.
:
01:26:03,249 --> 01:26:07,329
Like people can't make things because
the, the, the ingredients that come
:
01:26:07,329 --> 01:26:12,249
in are, you know, like it's not there
and, or the money or the oil is being
:
01:26:12,249 --> 01:26:15,489
sucked up by wealthier countries
like Japan is going to like, like,
:
01:26:15,849 --> 01:26:19,309
you know, pay anything they want in
order to get the fuel that they need.
:
01:26:19,614 --> 01:26:19,974
Right.
:
01:26:19,974 --> 01:26:22,314
Like they are going to have, you know,
like the United States, you know,
:
01:26:22,314 --> 01:26:27,354
like we are net uh, producers, but
you know, like the prices are gonna
:
01:26:27,354 --> 01:26:28,974
go up because it's a global economy.
:
01:26:29,454 --> 01:26:35,724
So, but you know, like making drugs or
making detergents or whatever in another
:
01:26:35,724 --> 01:26:37,644
country is gonna be like, oh my god.
:
01:26:37,734 --> 01:26:40,644
You know, like we don't have
this, you know, oil ingredient.
:
01:26:41,714 --> 01:26:46,934
And it might be that far, the way I'd
put it is it's like a Boy Scout troop
:
01:26:46,934 --> 01:26:51,824
walking, you know, through the woods and
the guy up front at the very beginning,
:
01:26:51,824 --> 01:26:57,464
like, you know, you know, bends over
to tie his shoe and then burst into
:
01:26:57,464 --> 01:27:02,773
flames, you know, you know, like,
like that's, that's where we're at.
:
01:27:03,734 --> 01:27:04,304
Um.
:
01:27:05,609 --> 01:27:08,909
Uh, because there's, there's,
there's a, there is a bit of a demand
:
01:27:08,909 --> 01:27:12,568
destruction that's gonna take a lot
longer to get through the system.
:
01:27:12,749 --> 01:27:16,529
And, um, I don't know
if we know what that is.
:
01:27:16,679 --> 01:27:16,859
Like.
:
01:27:16,859 --> 01:27:18,029
Okay, you, you tell me.
:
01:27:18,059 --> 01:27:22,799
Like, I, I saw that gold was like dropping
and I know gold has been like on a tear.
:
01:27:23,324 --> 01:27:27,134
And the only thing I can think of is
that, you know, like those are, are large
:
01:27:27,164 --> 01:27:31,244
institutional holders or even nation
states that are, are liquidating their
:
01:27:31,244 --> 01:27:34,724
positions and moving, you know, like,
and, and using it for something else.
:
01:27:35,804 --> 01:27:37,934
Uh, because that's not
individual investors.
:
01:27:37,994 --> 01:27:41,174
Those are, those are the big
guys being like, okay, skedaddle.
:
01:27:41,539 --> 01:27:44,624
I, I thought gold was like a safe
haven, but they're, they're, they've
:
01:27:44,624 --> 01:27:46,154
gotta be using that for something else.
:
01:27:46,604 --> 01:27:50,924
I, I saw a little bit of like, the same
thing with the, the Bitcoiny folks.
:
01:27:51,014 --> 01:27:56,084
Um, you know, like the, so there's a,
there money is going somewhere, right?
:
01:27:56,234 --> 01:27:58,874
You know, there's, there's
some flight to safety.
:
01:27:59,534 --> 01:28:03,644
I don't know what this means,
but I saw one guy on X say.
:
01:28:04,574 --> 01:28:09,014
Last year when all the tariffs went
in and the stock market went crazy,
:
01:28:09,104 --> 01:28:11,864
you know, like what people were paying
attention to was the bond market.
:
01:28:11,864 --> 01:28:14,414
And the bond market got to 4.5%.
:
01:28:14,834 --> 01:28:19,214
That means money got very expensive
and exact that, that exact same moment,
:
01:28:19,814 --> 01:28:22,784
you know, Trump said, okay, we're
putting all these tariffs on pause.
:
01:28:22,964 --> 01:28:25,874
So I, I think that there's, they're,
they're speculating, I guess
:
01:28:25,874 --> 01:28:27,074
they're saying is that there's a.
:
01:28:28,454 --> 01:28:33,104
Like if Trump treats the stock
market as his own personal approval
:
01:28:33,104 --> 01:28:37,514
rating of the economy, that the bond
market is even more important to
:
01:28:37,514 --> 01:28:39,464
him because he is a real estate guy.
:
01:28:40,394 --> 01:28:45,824
I don't know what any of that means as
far as gold, Bitcoin, and, and treasuries.
:
01:28:45,824 --> 01:28:49,273
Like what, what do people need to know
or what, like how does that affect me?
:
01:28:49,273 --> 01:28:49,664
I don't know.
:
01:28:50,023 --> 01:28:50,594
You tell me.
:
01:28:50,654 --> 01:28:51,464
I, I know nothing.
:
01:28:52,571 --> 01:28:54,281
Jerremy Newsome: Yeah,
I, it's a valid point.
:
01:28:54,281 --> 01:29:01,001
I, I don't think that Trump cares
about the bond market as much
:
01:29:01,001 --> 01:29:02,921
as people probably want him to.
:
01:29:03,161 --> 01:29:06,581
Uh, I think he cares about two things,
real estate prices and the stock market.
:
01:29:07,094 --> 01:29:07,514
Dave Conley: Mm-hmm.
:
01:29:07,631 --> 01:29:09,101
Jerremy Newsome: market's
gonna be his barometer.
:
01:29:09,191 --> 01:29:09,701
Um.
:
01:29:10,391 --> 01:29:13,601
He wants real estate to go up for
him and all of his rich buddies.
:
01:29:14,771 --> 01:29:18,701
the stock market is how he wants the
general public to kinda like view him.
:
01:29:19,214 --> 01:29:19,504
Dave Conley: Yeah.
:
01:29:19,931 --> 01:29:23,171
Jerremy Newsome: he is, he is going
to leave the office with a higher
:
01:29:23,171 --> 01:29:27,431
market and he'll do anything in
his power to, to make that happen.
:
01:29:27,521 --> 01:29:32,711
And this is, this is one of those ploys
right now, um, because the market's
:
01:29:33,671 --> 01:29:36,431
like three and a half hours ago.
:
01:29:38,021 --> 01:29:40,541
We were down 1.5%
:
01:29:40,781 --> 01:29:41,891
overnight, right?
:
01:29:41,891 --> 01:29:43,781
People were like, oh
gosh, here, here it comes.
:
01:29:43,781 --> 01:29:45,011
Like World War II is happening.
:
01:29:45,491 --> 01:29:49,241
Well, since then, we're up 1.6%.
:
01:29:49,241 --> 01:29:49,811
So we've had a
:
01:29:49,984 --> 01:29:50,204
Dave Conley: Oh,
:
01:29:50,261 --> 01:29:50,561
Jerremy Newsome: per,
:
01:29:51,304 --> 01:29:51,523
Dave Conley: on.
:
01:29:51,611 --> 01:29:56,441
Jerremy Newsome: had a 3% move higher
the markets in the last two and a
:
01:29:56,441 --> 01:30:01,151
half hours because Trump posted, uh,
specifically that they're not gonna,
:
01:30:01,931 --> 01:30:03,611
they're not gonna bomb the infrastructure.
:
01:30:04,300 --> 01:30:04,331
Uh.
:
01:30:05,471 --> 01:30:06,281
Hey, we're, we're, we're.
:
01:30:07,091 --> 01:30:07,511
was it.
:
01:30:07,964 --> 01:30:08,534
Dave Conley: Thanks.
:
01:30:09,550 --> 01:30:10,121
Jerremy Newsome: thanks.
:
01:30:10,273 --> 01:30:10,574
Dave Conley: kidding.
:
01:30:10,784 --> 01:30:12,824
We're gonna, oh wait, we're gonna wait.
:
01:30:12,914 --> 01:30:15,014
We're gonna wait to bomb
the infrastructure until
:
01:30:15,014 --> 01:30:16,664
the markets close on Friday.
:
01:30:17,564 --> 01:30:18,704
That's what I just read.
:
01:30:21,221 --> 01:30:22,091
Jerremy Newsome: Probably right?
:
01:30:22,181 --> 01:30:24,041
Um, It's pretty
:
01:30:24,404 --> 01:30:25,124
Dave Conley: God,
:
01:30:25,241 --> 01:30:25,306
Jerremy Newsome: So we.
:
01:30:26,276 --> 01:30:28,316
We terrify.
:
01:30:28,316 --> 01:30:32,036
Everyone was terrified overnight and
super scared in that one post, and
:
01:30:32,036 --> 01:30:33,806
now everything's perfectly fine again.
:
01:30:34,196 --> 01:30:39,236
So, yeah, it is really, really interesting
to see just the general distortion.
:
01:30:39,236 --> 01:30:44,696
But what I am noticing for sure is that's
he, he knows what strings to pull, um,
:
01:30:45,806 --> 01:30:50,876
tariffs w War, and there's gonna be one
other one that still hasn't happened yet.
:
01:30:50,876 --> 01:30:52,826
I'm gonna let you know when it occurs, but
:
01:30:52,904 --> 01:30:53,294
Dave Conley: Mm.
:
01:30:53,726 --> 01:30:54,841
Jerremy Newsome: something
related to real estate.
:
01:30:56,276 --> 01:30:58,136
Whatever that string is.
:
01:30:58,886 --> 01:31:01,886
Uh, people will be angry when it's
happening and then he'll release
:
01:31:01,886 --> 01:31:06,026
it after the market's down enough
saying, okay, all, everything's fine.
:
01:31:06,206 --> 01:31:08,576
'cause that's how he's helping
every, everyone get in.
:
01:31:08,576 --> 01:31:14,126
I mean, he is the, he is the trader
of all insider traders right now.
:
01:31:15,236 --> 01:31:16,316
he knows what's going on.
:
01:31:16,376 --> 01:31:18,656
He knows why it's going on,
and a lot of people are on the
:
01:31:18,656 --> 01:31:19,706
inside are benefiting from it.
:
01:31:19,826 --> 01:31:24,175
So, it is, it is quite interesting to see
how it's moving, see how it's shaping up.
:
01:31:25,919 --> 01:31:28,889
Dave Conley: I, you know, I'm,
I am going to stick to my guns.
:
01:31:28,949 --> 01:31:35,609
Uh, you know, the, the, the US
and and Israel are not in control
:
01:31:35,609 --> 01:31:36,898
of this escalation ladder.
:
01:31:37,559 --> 01:31:42,449
They are, they are fundamentally fighting
a different war than the Iranians.
:
01:31:42,568 --> 01:31:49,529
And the only, the only way
this could possibly, and
:
01:31:49,529 --> 01:31:51,089
it's like the slimmest thing.
:
01:31:52,064 --> 01:31:58,934
Uh, is, is, uh, destabilizing the
economy even more somehow in Iran.
:
01:31:58,964 --> 01:32:05,084
And the IRGC actually starts to
lose control of, of the country
:
01:32:05,564 --> 01:32:08,324
because it's a very, it's, it's
a very, it's a very big country.
:
01:32:08,954 --> 01:32:15,074
Uh, but a lot of that ha would have to
do with, with, with seizing their ability
:
01:32:15,074 --> 01:32:18,284
to make money, which is all in oil.
:
01:32:18,596 --> 01:32:19,016
Jerremy Newsome: Mm-hmm.
:
01:32:19,034 --> 01:32:19,994
Dave Conley: That's a lot.
:
01:32:20,023 --> 01:32:21,314
Uh, that's not one or few.
:
01:32:21,344 --> 01:32:22,693
That's not a few troops.
:
01:32:22,754 --> 01:32:24,014
That's a lot.
:
01:32:24,014 --> 01:32:29,714
And then like our, our young men and
our young women are coming home in
:
01:32:29,714 --> 01:32:36,404
bags and I just, I don't see, I do
not see the American people putting
:
01:32:36,404 --> 01:32:38,564
up with any of that so politically.
:
01:32:40,244 --> 01:32:44,864
There, there is nothing, you know,
like Steven wanted me to actually like,
:
01:32:44,864 --> 01:32:49,064
put my, my, my flag in the ground of
like, what's gonna happen at midterms.
:
01:32:49,064 --> 01:32:50,744
And three weeks ago I
was like, I don't know.
:
01:32:51,044 --> 01:32:55,964
Now I'm, I am certain that there is,
there is with without some weird,
:
01:32:56,954 --> 01:32:58,693
something that I can't even expect.
:
01:32:59,174 --> 01:33:03,734
There is nothing about the Republicans
holding onto now the Senate.
:
01:33:04,469 --> 01:33:10,409
Or, uh, Congress and you know, like
you're going to see a demand by people,
:
01:33:10,979 --> 01:33:15,148
uh, that Trump used to have, you
know, like he used to have the, the,
:
01:33:15,209 --> 01:33:16,949
you know, the middle of the rotors.
:
01:33:16,949 --> 01:33:20,818
You know, like, like you and me of like,
you know, don't put us in a, in a, in
:
01:33:20,818 --> 01:33:24,659
a, in a category, you know, like we're,
we're not of the left and we are not of
:
01:33:24,659 --> 01:33:29,099
the right as far as the, the labels go,
but we are of the left and the right.
:
01:33:29,099 --> 01:33:30,659
It depends on the issue, right?
:
01:33:31,318 --> 01:33:31,619
Uh.
:
01:33:32,519 --> 01:33:35,279
Uh, you know, like he doesn't
have the young people anymore.
:
01:33:35,339 --> 01:33:41,459
Uh, and, uh, he has, uh, lost, uh, you
know, swing voters that, uh, that uh,
:
01:33:41,519 --> 01:33:46,199
that have, that are, that are fickle
and that that's gonna happen with, um,
:
01:33:46,739 --> 01:33:48,539
particularly the Hispanic communities.
:
01:33:48,568 --> 01:33:51,989
Uh, you know, like Texas
might go blue, uh, and.
:
01:33:53,561 --> 01:33:54,341
Jerremy Newsome: That'd be wild.
:
01:33:54,341 --> 01:33:54,701
Huh?
:
01:33:54,914 --> 01:33:58,904
Dave Conley: This is a, and that
is now we're in the realm of not
:
01:33:58,904 --> 01:34:03,164
only is the, you know, congress
gonna be fundamentally stalled.
:
01:34:03,164 --> 01:34:05,924
We are gonna be in like
impeachment land again.
:
01:34:05,984 --> 01:34:09,464
We are going to be in more chaos, right?
:
01:34:09,734 --> 01:34:13,544
Like we are in like extra, extra
chaos for the rest of this year.
:
01:34:14,054 --> 01:34:15,374
Again, we're not in control.
:
01:34:15,734 --> 01:34:16,814
If we're not in control.
:
01:34:16,814 --> 01:34:18,884
That means this is long and drawn out.
:
01:34:18,914 --> 01:34:21,943
It's been, oh, it's gonna be
a weekend, is how it started.
:
01:34:21,974 --> 01:34:23,504
And then it's like, okay,
we're gonna be done.
:
01:34:23,534 --> 01:34:25,454
You know, like we've already won.
:
01:34:25,574 --> 01:34:26,324
We're going to win.
:
01:34:26,353 --> 01:34:27,943
You know, like it's
gonna be done this week.
:
01:34:28,364 --> 01:34:30,014
I was like, we've already won.
:
01:34:30,074 --> 01:34:31,454
We've sunk their army.
:
01:34:31,484 --> 01:34:34,304
They can't fire any missiles or, or.
:
01:34:34,599 --> 01:34:37,898
You know, like missiles and
it's gonna be another two weeks.
:
01:34:37,989 --> 01:34:40,929
And I'm like, okay, they're
still firing missiles, but you
:
01:34:40,929 --> 01:34:42,609
know, now we need regime change.
:
01:34:42,609 --> 01:34:43,389
I'm like, okay, great.
:
01:34:43,809 --> 01:34:45,309
Um, oh, it's about nuke.
:
01:34:45,459 --> 01:34:48,159
Like it's, you know, like
it is constantly shifting.
:
01:34:48,818 --> 01:34:53,228
And to think that it's going to quote
unquote in this week is, is is foolish.
:
01:34:53,289 --> 01:34:53,709
Right?
:
01:34:53,769 --> 01:34:59,349
Or next week or six months from now,
because again, we're not in control.
:
01:34:59,859 --> 01:35:00,879
Uh, it would.
:
01:35:01,484 --> 01:35:06,164
The, the kind of things to that
we need it to quote unquote seize
:
01:35:06,164 --> 01:35:11,023
the control back into the United
States is, is, is devastating
:
01:35:11,023 --> 01:35:12,344
Things that we cannot think of.
:
01:35:12,344 --> 01:35:17,564
It's a lot of dead bodies or it's, you
know, like the, the use of nuclear weapons
:
01:35:17,564 --> 01:35:19,574
is not zero and it needs to be zero.
:
01:35:19,634 --> 01:35:19,994
Right.
:
01:35:20,023 --> 01:35:22,754
You know, like if there's any
percentage of nuclear weapons,
:
01:35:22,754 --> 01:35:25,844
we are, we are in, in no bueno.
:
01:35:25,874 --> 01:35:26,294
Right.
:
01:35:27,044 --> 01:35:29,294
Um, so I.
:
01:35:30,539 --> 01:35:34,259
That's where I sound like a panicking,
maybe even a little tinfoil hat.
:
01:35:34,318 --> 01:35:39,209
Uh, but I, I do not see the
political reality of today.
:
01:35:39,959 --> 01:35:40,599
Um, I.
:
01:35:42,299 --> 01:35:46,349
You know, you and I deal with, or I deal
with probabilities and, and it's like,
:
01:35:46,349 --> 01:35:51,659
I, man, if I was in Vegas, I, this is,
you know, you and I talked about these,
:
01:35:51,659 --> 01:35:56,309
uh, these prediction, I'm gonna say
gambling markets, the IES of the world.
:
01:35:56,639 --> 01:36:02,369
I'm like, chips all in on, on these, you
know, it's like, if anybody's like, has
:
01:36:02,369 --> 01:36:06,929
any money on this ending soon, I, I, I am
fine with writing a check for that one.
:
01:36:07,019 --> 01:36:10,019
Like, like cash that on, you
know, six ways from Sunday.
:
01:36:15,264 --> 01:36:15,853
Okay.
:
01:36:15,914 --> 01:36:16,454
All right.
:
01:36:16,544 --> 01:36:18,824
We are wrapping up.
:
01:36:18,884 --> 01:36:19,304
You are.
:
01:36:19,334 --> 01:36:20,594
You are muted my friend.
:
01:36:20,654 --> 01:36:21,164
This is our.
:
01:36:21,681 --> 01:36:22,941
Jerremy Newsome: Still trying
to figure out how to mute it.
:
01:36:23,031 --> 01:36:24,771
Uh, learning technology.
:
01:36:25,191 --> 01:36:25,550
Yeah.
:
01:36:25,581 --> 01:36:28,311
Ladies and gentlemen, we hope that
this was viable, helpful, useful.
:
01:36:28,311 --> 01:36:31,371
It just gave you some, some fun
background noise to listen to and
:
01:36:31,371 --> 01:36:35,001
to soak in on because we're gonna
be here and pour into the team and.
:
01:36:35,791 --> 01:36:42,511
just support everyone's best vision of
how we can together create more wealth,
:
01:36:42,511 --> 01:36:46,351
more opportunity, more awareness for
everyone who's involved, that we can
:
01:36:46,800 --> 01:36:51,691
slowly increase the consciousness and
the conscious awareness and the way
:
01:36:51,691 --> 01:36:54,210
that people are educated, the way that
we're learning, and the way that we
:
01:36:54,391 --> 01:36:59,130
can shift together to create a bigger,
brighter, bolder future for all of us.
:
01:36:59,550 --> 01:37:00,781
Dave, it's been a pleasure as always, man.
:
01:37:00,781 --> 01:37:02,221
Thank you for the information.
:
01:37:03,414 --> 01:37:08,734
Dave Conley: And follow us
on SolveUSApodcast on X and
:
01:37:08,734 --> 01:37:11,794
SolvingAmericasProblemspodcast
on Instagram.
:
01:37:11,794 --> 01:37:15,844
And we'll have a link in this to
also find our glorious podcast.
:
01:37:15,844 --> 01:37:15,853
The.
:
01:37:15,934 --> 01:37:17,853
Thank you all and have a great day.
